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Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 1998 Proceedings. International Symposium on Product Quality and Integrity最新文献

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The use of HALT to improve computer reliability for point-of-sale equipment 使用HALT来提高销售点设备的计算机可靠性
R.H. Gusciora
This paper describes a manufacturer's use of HALT (highly accelerated life test) to help identify the root causes of multiple, intermittent, and complex problems with certain personal computers (PCs) as used in point-of-sale (POS) equipment. In addition to identifying the root causes of "forced" hardware problems by means of these special and severe environmental tests, the paper describes attempts to understand the relationships between the test failures and the experienced factory and field problems. Although the tested PCs have been primarily used in point-of-sale equipment, their hardware is very similar to that of ordinary PCs, so the paper's results are applicable to the average PC user. The paper has three basic conclusions: (1) single-sided board construction, while inexpensive, is not suitable for the very high reliability required by POS applications; (2) tin-plated connectors are not reliable for use in POS equipment, especially for low-force, low-current applications like SIMMS cards; and (3) HALT served as a useful tool for identifying some of the perplexing sources of factory and field problems with PCs. Note that the second conclusion is also applicable to those not in the POS market: (a) tin platings are probably not suitable for certain connectors in home and office PCs; and (b) the data provides a rare example where an accelerated test has quickly demonstrated tin-plated connectors to be troublesome, in situ, in complex electronic systems.
本文描述了一家制造商使用HALT(高加速寿命测试)来帮助识别销售点(POS)设备中使用的某些个人计算机(pc)的多重、间歇性和复杂问题的根本原因。除了通过这些特殊和严格的环境测试确定“强制”硬件问题的根本原因外,本文还描述了试图理解测试失败与经验丰富的工厂和现场问题之间的关系。虽然测试的PC主要用于销售点设备,但其硬件与普通PC非常相似,因此本文的结果适用于普通PC用户。本文得出了三个基本结论:(1)单面板结构虽然价格低廉,但并不适合POS应用对可靠性要求很高的情况;(2)镀锡连接器在POS设备中使用不可靠,特别是在低力、低电流的应用中,如SIMMS卡;(3) HALT作为一种有用的工具,用于识别pc机在工厂和现场出现的一些令人困惑的问题的根源。请注意,第二个结论也适用于那些不在POS市场的人:(a)镀锡可能不适合家庭和办公室pc中的某些连接器;(b)数据提供了一个罕见的例子,加速测试很快证明,在复杂的电子系统中,镀锡连接器在现场是麻烦的。
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引用次数: 4
Efficient basic event orderings for binary decision diagrams 二元决策图的有效基本事件排序
John Andrews, L. M. Bartlett
Significant advances have been made in methodologies to analyse the fault tree diagram. The most successful of these developments has been the binary decision diagram (BDD) approach. This approach has been shown to improve both the efficiency of determining the minimal cut sets of the fault tree and also the accuracy of the calculation procedure used to determine the top event parameters. To utilise the BDD approach the fault tree structure is first converted to the BDD format. This conversion can be accomplished efficiently but requires the basic events in the fault tree to be placed in an ordering. A poor ordering can result in a BDD which is not an efficient representation of the fault tree logic structure. The advantages to be gained by utilising the BDD technique rely on the efficiency of the ordering scheme. Alternative ordering schemes have been investigated and no one scheme is appropriate for every tree structure. Research to date has not found any rule based means of determining the best way of ordering basic events for a given fault tree structure. The work presented in this paper takes a machine learning approach based on genetic algorithms to select the most appropriate ordering scheme. Features which describe a fault tree structure have been identified and these provide the inputs to the machine learning algorithm. A set of possible ordering schemes has been selected based on previous heuristic work. The objective of the work detailed in the paper is to predict the most efficient of the possible ordering alternatives from parameters which describe a fault tree structure.
在故障树图分析方法方面取得了重大进展。这些开发中最成功的是二元决策图(BDD)方法。该方法不仅提高了确定故障树最小割集的效率,而且提高了确定顶级事件参数的计算过程的准确性。为了利用BDD方法,首先将故障树结构转换为BDD格式。这种转换可以有效地完成,但需要将故障树中的基本事件按顺序排列。糟糕的排序会导致BDD不是故障树逻辑结构的有效表示。利用BDD技术获得的优势依赖于排序方案的效率。人们研究了不同的排序方案,但没有一种方案适用于所有树结构。迄今为止的研究还没有发现任何基于规则的方法来确定给定故障树结构的基本事件排序的最佳方式。本文采用基于遗传算法的机器学习方法来选择最合适的排序方案。描述故障树结构的特征已经被识别出来,这些特征为机器学习算法提供了输入。在前人启发式工作的基础上,选择了一组可能的排序方案。本文详细介绍的工作目标是从描述故障树结构的参数中预测最有效的可能排序方案。
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引用次数: 26
Telecommunications use environment application 电信使用环境应用
T. Kiang
This paper defines the telecommunications (telecom) product use environment conditions and describes the characteristics and technological constraints in high density electronic packaging for telecom product applications. A design approach is documented to guide new technology product development. This project attempts to establish a user-supplier linkage to translate the product use environment conditions into relevant physical design characteristics. Such information is necessary for cost-effective selection of components and materials used in building high density packaging modules. Whereas it is essential to specify the performance limits of a module when used in a product, it becomes imperative to have full knowledge of the end use product environment conditions. The relationship of module design and product application is addressed. The results of this project lay the ground work for further development of the packaging technology trends, broadening of the scope of applications, and harnessing the benefits derived from telecom product investments. The focus here is on realization of a new generation of physical design concepts that involve high density packaging and the selection of appropriate technologies as demanded in a rapidly evolving telecom industry.
定义了电信产品的使用环境条件,描述了高密度电子封装在电信产品应用中的特点和技术限制。一个设计方法被记录下来指导新技术产品的开发。本项目试图建立用户-供应商联系,将产品使用环境条件转化为相关的物理设计特征。这些信息对于在建造高密度封装模块时选择具有成本效益的组件和材料是必要的。虽然在产品中使用时必须指定模块的性能限制,但必须充分了解最终使用产品的环境条件。阐述了模块设计与产品应用的关系。该项目的成果为进一步发展包装技术趋势、扩大应用范围和利用电信产品投资带来的好处奠定了基础。这里的重点是实现新一代物理设计概念,这些概念涉及高密度封装和选择快速发展的电信行业所需的适当技术。
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引用次数: 1
Parameter estimation for mixed-Weibull distribution 混合威布尔分布的参数估计
D. Kececioglu, Wendai Wang
In reliability engineering, it is known that electrical and mechanical equipment usually have more than one failure mode or cause. The mixed Weibull distribution is an appropriate distribution to use in modeling the lifetimes of the units that have more than one failure cause. However, due to the lack of a systematic statistical procedure for fitting an appropriate distribution to such a mixed data set, it has not been widely used. A mixed Weibull distribution represents a population that consists of several Weibull subpopulations. In this paper, a new approach is developed to estimate the mixed-Weibull distribution's parameters. At first, the population sample data are split into subpopulation data sets over the whole test duration by using the posterior belonging probability of each observation to each subpopulation. Then, with the new concepts of fracture failure and mean order number, the proposed approach combines the least-squares method with Bayes' theorem, takes advantage of the parameter estimation for single Weibull distribution to each derived subgroup data set, and estimates the parameters of each subpopulation. The proposed approach can also be applied for complete, censored, and grouped data samples. Its superiority is particularly significant when the sample size is relatively small and for the case in which the subpopulations are well mixed. A numerical example is given to compare the proposed method with the conventional plotting method of subpopulation separation. It turns out that the proposed method yields more accurate parameter estimates.
在可靠性工程中,众所周知,机电设备通常有不止一种故障模式或原因。混合威布尔分布是一种适合用于对具有多个故障原因的单元的寿命进行建模的分布。然而,由于缺乏系统的统计程序来拟合这种混合数据集的适当分布,它没有被广泛使用。混合威布尔分布表示由几个威布尔亚种群组成的种群。本文提出了一种估计混合威布尔分布参数的新方法。首先,通过使用每个观测值对每个子总体的后验归属概率,将总体样本数据在整个测试持续时间内分成亚总体数据集。然后,引入断裂破坏和平均阶数的新概念,将最小二乘法与贝叶斯定理相结合,利用单个威布尔分布对每个衍生子群数据集的参数估计,对每个子群数据集进行参数估计;所提出的方法也可以应用于完整的、删节的和分组的数据样本。当样本量相对较小且亚群混合良好时,其优越性尤为显著。通过数值算例,将该方法与传统的亚种群分离作图方法进行了比较。结果表明,所提出的方法可以得到更准确的参数估计。
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引用次数: 30
From reliability-prediction to a reliability-budgetedddd 从可靠性预测到可靠性预算
V. Loll
For many years, prediction according to MIL-HDBK-217 was a major activity in most projects. A prediction was required in the contract, but the customer seldom required the assumptions to be stated in the report and compliance with the assumptions to be verified. This leads to the so called "number game". Today it is a "hot issue" if experience data can be used for anything, and whether a component does have a meaningful hazard rate. This paper discusses which advantages a prediction can offer to a manufacturer and a customer. This leads to the conclusion that instead of prediction one should talk about a reliability budget, which will guide the project manager to the part of the design where early analysis and tests should be made. This reliability budget is made using a Weibull probability paper, so that nonconstant hazard rate can be included in the budget. This allows the inclusion of wear-out in the analysis, allowing a comparison of the reliability budget with the reliability target for the system. Reliability prediction has also been criticized for blocking for improved design techniques. The experience of the well known Danish company Bang and Olufsen, using a modified prediction technique to encourage designers to improve their design technique, is described.
多年来,根据MIL-HDBK-217进行预测是大多数项目的主要活动。合同中要求进行预测,但客户很少要求在报告中说明假设,并验证假设是否符合要求。这就导致了所谓的“数字游戏”。如今,经验数据是否可以用于任何事情,以及某个组件是否具有有意义的危险率,都是一个“热点问题”。本文讨论了预测能为制造商和客户提供哪些优势。由此得出的结论是,人们应该讨论可靠性预算,而不是预测,这将引导项目经理进入应该进行早期分析和测试的设计部分。该可靠性预算采用威布尔概率法,使非恒定的风险率可以包含在预算中。这允许在分析中包含磨损,允许将可靠性预算与系统的可靠性目标进行比较。可靠性预测也被批评为阻碍改进的设计技术。著名的丹麦公司Bang and Olufsen使用一种改进的预测技术来鼓励设计师改进他们的设计技术。
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引用次数: 2
Prediction of product failure rate due to event-related failure mechanisms 事件相关失效机制导致的产品故障率预测
D. Lin, T.L. Welsher
Individual events in the use environment such as accidentally dropping a cellular phone or zapping it with human body ESD (electrostatic discharge) are getting more frequent as electronic products are becoming more portable. Monte Carlo simulations of the stress distribution offered by the environment and the product strength distribution are used to derive the infant mortality (early failure) curve. Fitting the slope of the infant mortality curve is an indicator of how far apart the two distributions are and the frequency of individual events. Two new metrics, SIM (severity of infant mortality) and D/sub 5%/, to track infant mortality are proposed. The process to set test-based reliability requirements for achieving a given field return goal is also illustrated.
随着电子产品的便携性越来越高,在使用环境中,不小心掉下手机或被人体静电放电(ESD)击中等个人事件越来越频繁。利用蒙特卡罗模拟环境应力分布和产品强度分布,导出了婴儿死亡率(早期失效)曲线。拟合婴儿死亡率曲线的斜率是两种分布之间的距离和个别事件发生频率的指标。提出了跟踪婴儿死亡率的两个新指标SIM(婴儿死亡严重程度)和D/低于5%/。为实现给定的现场返回目标而设置基于测试的可靠性要求的过程也进行了说明。
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引用次数: 8
Recovery blocks in real-time distributed systems 实时分布式系统中的恢复块
Dong Nguyen, Irvine, Dar-Biau Liu
This paper discusses the concept of recovery blocks as a dynamic redundancy approach to software fault tolerance. The discussion focuses on the distributed recovery block (DRB) scheme which can be thought of as a means of integrating hardware and software fault tolerance in a single structure. The DRB approach, which combines distributed processing and recovery block concepts, is capable of effecting forward recovery while handling both hardware and software faults in a uniform manner. The DRB was developed for applications such as command and control in which data was collected by interface processors and distributed over a network, and in which data from one pair of processors was output to another pair of processors. The extended distributed recovery blocks (EDRB) is then discussed as a modified scheme of the original DRB for real-time process control applications. The implementation of the EDRB is also presented to acquaint the reader with the implementation issue that must be faced in the development of a fault-tolerant software architecture for a distributed system.
本文讨论了恢复块作为软件容错的一种动态冗余方法的概念。讨论的重点是分布式恢复块(DRB)方案,它可以被认为是在单一结构中集成硬件和软件容错的一种手段。DRB方法结合了分布式处理和恢复块的概念,能够在以统一的方式处理硬件和软件故障的同时实现前向恢复。DRB是为命令和控制等应用而开发的,其中数据由接口处理器收集并通过网络分发,其中一对处理器的数据输出到另一对处理器。然后讨论了扩展分布式恢复块(EDRB)作为原始分布式恢复块的改进方案,用于实时过程控制应用。本文还介绍了EDRB的实现,以使读者了解分布式系统容错软件体系结构开发中必须面对的实现问题。
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引用次数: 10
Ways to improve the analysis of step-stress testing 改进台阶应力测试分析的途径
J. McLinn
Step-stress testing has a number of worthwhile applications for the analysis of the projected life for components and occasionally systems. These include the common situations of testing when only a small number of systems are available, when extremely long or specialized test equipment are required, when limited environmental chamber capability and/or test fixtures are involved, and lastly when very expensive support equipment is a test limit. Step-stress testing has had limited applicability in the past. This has been due to improperly described degradation or accumulative fatigue, poor control of the test samples and difficulty with the analysis of the failure data. A tight series of step-stress ground rules are proposed in this paper to solve or mitigate these and other common accelerated test problems. This paper also presents methods to improve the analysis of the step-stress test. While these methods are approximate, they lend themselves to analysis on a computer by standard hand techniques. Additionally, the ground rules presented suggest that wider limits may be taken for running a step stress test than has been suggested in the past. These ground rules aid the analysis by helping limit the range of results. The step intervals need not be of the same length nor stress steps uniform in size.
阶跃应力测试在分析部件和系统的预期寿命方面有许多有价值的应用。这些测试包括只有少数系统可用时的常见情况,当需要非常长的或专门的测试设备时,当涉及有限的环境室能力和/或测试夹具时,以及最后当非常昂贵的支持设备是测试的极限时。在过去,阶梯压力测试的适用性有限。这是由于不恰当地描述退化或累积疲劳,对测试样品的控制不良以及对失效数据的分析困难。本文提出了一系列严格的阶跃应力基本规则,以解决或减轻这些和其他常见的加速测试问题。本文还提出了改进步进应力试验分析的方法。虽然这些方法是近似的,但它们可以通过标准的手工技术在计算机上进行分析。此外,提出的基本规则表明,对于运行逐步压力测试,可能会采取比过去建议的更广泛的限制。这些基本规则通过限制结果的范围来帮助分析。台阶间隔不需要相同的长度,应力台阶的大小也不需要一致。
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引用次数: 11
Sample implementation of the Littlewood holistic model for assessing software quality, safety and reliability 用于评估软件质量、安全性和可靠性的Littlewood整体模型的示例实现
D. Herrmann
Software quality, safety and reliability metrics should be collected, integrated, and analyzed throughout the development lifecycle so that corrective and preventive action can be taken in a timely and cost effective manner. It is too late to wait until the testing phase to collect and assess software quality information, particularly for mission critical systems. It is inadequate and can be misleading to only use the results obtained from testing to make a software safety or reliability assessment. To remedy this situation a holistic model which captures, integrates and analyzes product, process, and people/resource (P/sup 3/R) metrics, as recommended by B. Littlewood (1993), is needed. This paper defines one such possible implementation.
应该在整个开发生命周期中收集、集成和分析软件质量、安全性和可靠性度量,以便能够以及时和成本有效的方式采取纠正和预防措施。等到测试阶段再收集和评估软件质量信息已经太晚了,特别是对于关键任务系统。仅使用从测试中获得的结果来进行软件安全性或可靠性评估是不充分的,并且可能会产生误导。如B. Littlewood(1993)所建议的那样,为了纠正这种情况,需要一个整体模型来捕获、集成和分析产品、过程和人员/资源(P/sup /R)指标。本文定义了这样一种可能的实现。
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引用次数: 7
Bayes reliability demonstration test plan for series-systems with binomial subsystem data 二项子系统数据串联系统的贝叶斯可靠性验证试验方案
L. Ten, M. Xie
One reason that the Bayesian approach to reliability demonstration has not gained popularity in industry is the difficulty in establishing the prior. The problem becomes more complicated when only subsystem data are available. It has received little attention in the existing literature and this paper makes an attempt to do that. A method is proposed to derive the Bayesian reliability demonstration test plan for series systems with binomial subsystem data. The method makes use of Mann's approximately optimum lower confidence bound model to derive the system prior based on binomial subsystem data. The system Bayesian reliability demonstration test plan can then be derived using existing methods for meeting posterior confidence requirements. The proposed method is easy to apply and no complicated computation is involved in deriving the system prior distribution. It uses objective subsystem test data. No subjective judgement is required. This method is most beneficial for systems that already have substantial subsystem test data before the reliability demonstration.
贝叶斯可靠性论证方法尚未在工业中得到普及的一个原因是难以建立先验。当只有子系统数据可用时,问题变得更加复杂。这在现有文献中很少受到关注,本文试图做到这一点。提出了一种具有二项子系统数据的串联系统贝叶斯可靠性验证试验方案的推导方法。该方法利用Mann的近似最优下置信度界模型,基于二项子系统数据推导系统先验。然后利用现有方法推导出满足后验置信度要求的系统贝叶斯可靠性论证试验方案。该方法应用简单,不需要复杂的计算来推导系统的先验分布。它使用客观的子系统测试数据。不需要主观判断。这种方法对于在可靠性论证之前已经有大量子系统测试数据的系统最为有利。
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引用次数: 19
期刊
Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 1998 Proceedings. International Symposium on Product Quality and Integrity
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