一种结合分析模型和自然决策模型的战术群体决策分析系统

A. Freedy, M. Cohen, G. Weltman, E. Freedy
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引用次数: 4

摘要

战术群体决策辅助系统支持同地或分布的团队,他们正在计划任务,需要在几个可能的选项中选择一个。团队成员通过创建场景来提出行动方案,例如,因果关联的行动序列,过去、现在或未来的关键因素或事件,以及短期或长期的任务结果。TGDAS通过比较场景和识别重要分支点的场景矩阵,以及通过预先存储的可编辑模板(提供与相关任务和情况类型中的场景分支点相匹配的变量和关系),构建正式正确的决策模型。基于模型的分析对选项进行排序,并让协作团队关注对决策和结果影响最大的变量。
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A new Tactical Group Decision Analysis System (TGDAS) combining analytical and naturalistic decision modeling
The tactical group decision aiding system supports co-located or distributed teams who are planning missions requiring the selection of one among several possible options. Team members propose courses of action by creating scenarios, i.e., causally linked sequences of actions, key factors or events in the past, present, or future, and short or long-term mission outcomes. The TGDAS builds formally correct decision models via a scenario matrix that compares scenarios and identifies significant branch points, and by means of pre-stored editable templates that supply variables and relationships matching the scenario branch points in the relevant type of mission and situation. Model-based analyses order the options and let the collaborative team focus on variables that have the most impact on decisions and outcomes.
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