为模拟城市空气污染量身定制的化学机制

L. Joelsson, C. Pichler, E. Nilsson
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摘要

提出了一种基于蚁群优化方法的半随机统计约简方法,用于大气化学模拟。主要的应用是耦合动力学和化学模型来模拟街道尺度上化学物质的分散和反应性,即街道峡谷中城市空气污染的建模。该方法的设计目的是根据用户特定的输入,如反应物质的初始浓度、温度、湿度、停留时间和太阳辐射,优化任何模拟情况下的还原过程。这些输入将对应或推断出实际变量,如季节、时间、地理位置、与挥发性有机碳或氮氧化物来源(如森林、道路、工业、港口等)的接近程度及其来源强度、天气、车队组成和街道峡谷内的交通负荷。该方法是根据先前文献中描述的三个箱型案例研究(实验室和大气模拟)进行评估的。该方法对O3、NO2和NO浓度的预测精度分别保持在94.1%、90.3%和91.2%的平均水平上,其机制尺寸分别降低了62.5%、84.7%和97.7%。这些初步结果说明了该方法的潜力。可以考虑进一步的发展,例如包括集总或反应路径的缩短。
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TAILORED CHEMICAL MECHANISMS FOR SIMULATION OF URBAN AIR POLLUTION
A semi-stochastic, statistical reduction method for chemical kinetic schemes based on the ant colony optimization method, is developed for atmospheric chemistry simulations. The prime application is coupled dynamic and chemistry models for simulation of the dispersion and reactivity of chemical species on street scale, i.e. the modelling of urban air pollution in street canyons. The method is designed so that it will optimize the reduction process for any simulation case, as given by user-specific inputs, such as initial concentrations of reactive species, temperature, humidity, residence time, and solar radiation. These inputs will correspond to, or be deduced from, actual variables such as season, time-of-day, geographic location, proximity to volatile organic carbon or nitrogen oxides sources (e.g. forests, roads, industry, harbours etc.) and their source strengths, weather, composition of vehicle fleet, and traffic load inside the street canyon. The method is evaluated against three box model case studies (laboratory and atmospheric simulations) previously described in the literature. The method reduces the mechanism sizes with 62.5%, 84.7%, and 97.7% respectively, retaining the average accuracy for the prediction of the target compound (O3, NO2, and NO) concentrations by 94.1%, 90.3%, and 91.2% respectively. These preliminary results illustrate the potential for the method. Further developments, such as inclusion of lumping or short-cutting of reaction paths, can be considered.
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