美元的全球作用和新形势下世界经济去美元化的趋势

O. Komolov
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摘要

本文致力于分析美元在世界经济中的作用及其作为世界储备货币的形成。基于世界体系分析学派(J. Arrighi, S. Amin, I. Wallerstein, R.S. Dzarazov)的方法论,作者揭示了在美国系统性资本积累周期内,美元作为经济中心和边缘之间不平等交换的工具之一的机制。在综合实证分析的基础上,对21世纪世界经济的去美元化趋势进行了评价。人们发现,尽管2007-2009年的全球危机造成了毁灭性的后果。由于全球金融危机期间美国经济金融部门的过度发展,美元在各国的国际储备中、在世界经济的贸易和外汇操作中保持了关键作用。特别是,俄罗斯经济,尽管当局声明要放弃美元,但仍然高度依赖美元,只是部分地用欧元取代美元。2022-2023年俄罗斯的真正去美元化成为商业的必要措施,并与俄罗斯在西方银行的代理账户部分被封锁有关。
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The Global Role of the Dollar and Trends in the De-dollarization of the World Economy in the New Conditions
The paper is devoted to the analysis of the role of the dollar in the world economy and its formation as a world reserve currency. Based on the methodology of the school of world-system analysis (J. Arrighi, S. Amin, I. Wallerstein, R.S. Dzarazov), the author reveals the mechanism for using the dollar as one of the instruments of unequal exchange between the center and the periphery of the economy within the American systemic capital accumulation cycle. Based on a comprehensive empirical analysis, an assessment is made of the trends in the dedollarization of the world economy in the 21st century. It was found that despite the devastating consequences of the global crisis of 2007–2009. caused by the hypertrophied development of the financial sector of the US economy during the global crisis, the dollar retained a key role in the international reserves of states, in trade and exchange operations in the world economy. In particular, the Russian economy, despite the statements of the authorities about moving towards abandoning the dollar, nevertheless remained highly dependent on it, only partially replacing US dollars with the euro. Real de-dollarization 2022-2023 in Russia became a necessary measure for business, and was associated with the partial blocking of Russian correspondent accounts in Western banks.
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