基于EVA的资本要求综合分析

A. Golbabaei, M. Botshekan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提出了一种全面的资产负债表管理方法,以展示银行如何同时满足监管资本(根据巴塞尔协议III提出)和股东财富。使用合并资产负债表,本工作概述了一种基于目标信贷风险的资本比率和经济增加值之间映射的方法,银行可以通过该方法预测其最佳资产负债表。本研究的结果如下:首先,使用事前法,我们根据前一年的数据预测每年的优化资产负债表。通过限制资产负债表项目与实际变化相比最多可能发生5%的变化,我们可以制作一个优化的资产负债表,其中我们以相同的资本比率预测更多的EVA与每年的实际表现相比。其次,在事后方法中,我们使用事前方法预测的优化资产负债表项目,并假设如果银行在实践中使用这种优化的资产负债表,将获得多少EVA。结果表明,在这种方法(事后法)中,我们可以产生更多的EVA。这意味着,如果银行在实践中使用这种优化的资产负债表,它可以获得更多的EVA。当我们对分析施加更多限制时,稳健性测试也支持我们的主要结果。
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A Comprehensive Approach to the Capital Requirements Based on EVA
We propose a holistic approach to balance sheet management to show how banks can meet both regulatory capital (proposed under Basel III) and shareholders’ wealth simultaneously. Using the consolidated balance sheet, this work outlines a methodology for mapping between targeted credit risks based capital ratio and economic value added by which banks can predict their optimal balance sheet. The results of this study are as follows. First, using an ex-ante approach, we predict the optimized balance sheet in each year from the previous year's data. By imposing the restriction of a maximum of 5% possible changes in the balance sheet items compared to the real changes, we could make an optimized balance sheet in which we predict more EVA with the same capital ratio compared to the real performance in each year. Second, in the ex-post approach, we use the optimized balance sheet items predicted by the ex-ante approach and assume that if this optimized balance sheet is used by the bank in practice, how much more EVA will be gained. The results show that in this approach (the ex-post approach), we could generate more EVA. It means that if the bank had used this optimized balance sheet in practice, it could have made more EVA. Robustness tests also support our main results when we impose more restrictions on the analysis.
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