马拉维湖水量平衡模式及其对气候变化的敏感性

P. Kumambala, A. Ervine
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引用次数: 37

摘要

马拉维的可持续水资源开发需要对气候变化对马拉维湖未来水位的影响进行彻底的评估,因为马拉维湖及其流出的Shire河水系是马拉维最重要的水资源,用于水力发电、为Blantyre市及其周边城市地区的工业和家庭供水,以及下Shire Valley (LSV)的灌溉用水。湖泊水文或生态行为的任何变化都将对马拉维的经济产生深远的影响。本文综述了马拉维湖水平衡研究的现有文献,并将气候变化模型引入到水平衡模型中,以评估该湖未来可能的行为。
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Water Balance Model of Lake Malawi and its Sensitivity to Climate Change
Sustainable water resources development of Malawi needs a thorough assessment of the impact of climate change on the future water levels of Lake Malawi because Lake Malawi together with its outflowing Shire river water sys- tem is Malawi's most important water resource for hydropower generation, water supply for industrial and domestic use in the city of Blantyre and its surrounding urban areas together with irrigation water in the Lower Shire Valley (LSV). Any changes in the hydrological or ecological behaviour of the lake will have far reaching consequences on the economy of Malawi. This paper reviews the current literature on the water balance studies of Lake Malawi and introduces climate change modelling into the water balance model to assess the likely future behaviour of the lake.
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