{"title":"随机微分方程在大气温度预报中的应用","authors":"Mingming Xu, Cijun Fang, Desheng Tian","doi":"10.1145/3545839.3545859","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Stochastic differential equations are widely used in atmospheric temperature prediction. This paper based on the established stochastic differential logistic model of global average temperature, it takes Euler's numerical model method to estimate the parameter values and analyze, evaluate the model fitting. The prediction efficiency of the model is determined thereby. Besides, the global average temperature for the next few years is predicted as stated in this paper. Finally, by analyzing the main research variable of global average temperature - environmental capacity, it shows that that if human beings do not get controlled, the global average temperature will continue to increase.","PeriodicalId":249161,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the 2022 5th International Conference on Mathematics and Statistics","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Application of Stochastic Differential Equation in Atmospheric Temperature Prediction\",\"authors\":\"Mingming Xu, Cijun Fang, Desheng Tian\",\"doi\":\"10.1145/3545839.3545859\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Stochastic differential equations are widely used in atmospheric temperature prediction. This paper based on the established stochastic differential logistic model of global average temperature, it takes Euler's numerical model method to estimate the parameter values and analyze, evaluate the model fitting. The prediction efficiency of the model is determined thereby. Besides, the global average temperature for the next few years is predicted as stated in this paper. Finally, by analyzing the main research variable of global average temperature - environmental capacity, it shows that that if human beings do not get controlled, the global average temperature will continue to increase.\",\"PeriodicalId\":249161,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Proceedings of the 2022 5th International Conference on Mathematics and Statistics\",\"volume\":\"5 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-06-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Proceedings of the 2022 5th International Conference on Mathematics and Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1145/3545839.3545859\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the 2022 5th International Conference on Mathematics and Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3545839.3545859","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Application of Stochastic Differential Equation in Atmospheric Temperature Prediction
Stochastic differential equations are widely used in atmospheric temperature prediction. This paper based on the established stochastic differential logistic model of global average temperature, it takes Euler's numerical model method to estimate the parameter values and analyze, evaluate the model fitting. The prediction efficiency of the model is determined thereby. Besides, the global average temperature for the next few years is predicted as stated in this paper. Finally, by analyzing the main research variable of global average temperature - environmental capacity, it shows that that if human beings do not get controlled, the global average temperature will continue to increase.