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The Classification of Chinese Personal Income Level Based on Bayesian Network 基于贝叶斯网络的中国个人收入水平分类
Lei Li, Xueli Wang, Juan Yang
In recent years, great changes have taken place in economy and society in China. However, income inequality is becoming more serious and it needs to be paid more attention. Therefore, the analysis of factors that affect income is important. The Bayesian network is a common method to study causal relationships among different variables. The paper analyzed personal annual income in 2016 in China based on the data of Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) with the Bayesian network (BN). The research is to study the relationships among 14 income related factors and classify the personal income level. Based on the per capita disposable income in 2016 in China (23821 yuan), personal income was divided into two categories: High Income (personal income was greater than 23821) and Low Income (personal income was smaller than 23821). Then we applied BN to classify the level of personal income. The predicted classification results with Bayesian network were compared with those with Naïve Bayesian method. It could be found that BN could not only reflect the causal relationships among 14 variables, but also have higher prediction accuracy in this income problem.
近年来,中国的经济和社会发生了巨大的变化。然而,收入不平等越来越严重,需要引起更多的关注。因此,分析影响收入的因素是很重要的。贝叶斯网络是研究不同变量间因果关系的常用方法。本文基于中国综合社会调查(CGSS)数据,运用贝叶斯网络(BN)对2016年中国个人年收入进行分析。本研究是研究14个收入相关因素之间的关系,并对个人收入水平进行分类。根据2016年中国人均可支配收入(23821元),将个人收入分为高收入(个人收入大于23821元)和低收入(个人收入小于23821元)两类。然后运用BN对个人收入水平进行分类。将贝叶斯网络的预测分类结果与Naïve贝叶斯方法的预测分类结果进行比较。可以发现,BN不仅可以反映14个变量之间的因果关系,而且在该收入问题中具有较高的预测精度。
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引用次数: 0
Indonesian Finance News Sentiment from Hybrid Deep Learning and Support Vector Machine 基于混合深度学习和支持向量机的印尼财经新闻情绪分析
I. Mukhlash, Athyah D. S. Gama, Mohammad Iqbal, D. Darmaji, M. Kimura
One common action to keep aware of the current investment progress is by updating finance news continuously. Indeed, we can read a bunch of news relating to finance from social media, which is often difficult to figure out at a glance. Hence, this work aims to propose hybrid models that can help us to classify whether the finance news is positive to follow. Also, we may sort a few articles containing neutral ones. More specifically, we incorporate deep neural networks: deep convolutional neural networks and long short term memory, to draw diverse word representations, and support vector machines to categorize them as a multi-class classification case. In this work, we evaluated the proposed models on Indonesian finance news that was officially reported from the Bank of Indonesia around 2019 before the pandemic started. In the evaluation results, we showed the DCNN-SVM better accuracy compared to others.
了解当前投资进展的一个常见做法是不断更新财经新闻。事实上,我们可以从社交媒体上读到一堆与金融相关的新闻,而这些新闻往往很难一眼就看出来。因此,本工作旨在提出混合模型,以帮助我们对财经新闻是否积极进行分类。此外,我们可能会对一些包含中性词的文章进行排序。更具体地说,我们结合了深度神经网络:深度卷积神经网络和长短期记忆,以绘制不同的单词表示,并使用支持向量机将它们分类为多类分类案例。在这项工作中,我们评估了2019年左右印尼央行在疫情开始前正式报道的印尼金融新闻的拟议模型。在评价结果中,我们显示了DCNN-SVM的准确率优于其他方法。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the Factors Influencing Long Jump 影响跳远成绩的因素研究
Zijian Shang
Long-jumpers’ performances are affected by various factors. Based on the physical characteristics, take-off angle, approach speed, air density of environment, etc., this paper establishes a mathematical model that can obtain the long-jumpers’ theoretical long jump performance. The conclusions are as follows: (1) Air resistance has almost no effect on the athlete's long jump performance. (2) The faster the approach speed leads to better results. (3) Theoretically, the take-off angle is proportional to the distance for long-jumpers cover, but high take-off angle will unbalance the body, resulting in a greater loss of speed, and reduce the performance. The model in this paper has very small errors and has good applicability. It is recommended that athletes increase the approach speed and increase the take-off angle on the premise of maintaining body balance.
跳远运动员的成绩受多种因素的影响。根据跳远运动员的身体特征、起跳角度、进近速度、环境空气密度等因素,建立了跳远运动员理论跳远成绩的数学模型。结果表明:(1)空气阻力对运动员跳远成绩几乎没有影响。(2)接近速度越快,结果越好。(3)理论上,跳远运动员的起跳角度与掩护距离成正比,但过高的起跳角度会使身体失去平衡,造成更大的速度损失,降低成绩。本文的模型误差很小,具有很好的适用性。建议运动员在保持身体平衡的前提下,加大进场速度,加大起跳角度。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of the maximum proportion of invertible submatrices in invertible binary matrices 可逆二元矩阵中可逆子矩阵最大比例的求值
Jiayi Hu
The research on all-or-nothing transform in cryptography leads to the problem that, for a given positive integer , what is the density of invertible submatrices of any invertible matrix? For binary matrices, previous work shows that in the case , , where denotes the maximum proportion of invertible submatrices in invertible matrices. In this paper we study the case . It is proved that and an upper bound of is given as well.
密码学中全或无变换的研究涉及到一个问题:对于给定的正整数,任意可逆矩阵的可逆子矩阵的密度是多少?对于二元矩阵,以前的工作表明,在,的情况下,其中表示可逆矩阵中可逆子矩阵的最大比例。本文对这一案例进行了研究。证明了这一点,并给出了的上界。
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引用次数: 0
Markov Process Modeling on Derived State Spaces of the Price Dynamics of Stock Market Indices 股票市场指数价格动态衍生状态空间的马尔可夫过程建模
Bohan Li
We explore and contrast two distinct ways of extracting discrete predictive models for the evolution of stock market time-series data. In particular, the two methods for constructing models are one, applying the commonly used “hollow candlestick” framework to the time series data on the daily level and feeding the result into a Markov chain inference module in R; two, applying the popular technical indicator “Fibonacci extension levels” to a filtered time-series data, then transcribing the price movements into a sequence to be fed into the same Markov chain inference module. Whereas continuous-time stochastic models are well studied and widely deployed in the computational trading industry and among econometrics scholars, models that are discrete in nature remain extremely popular among professional and amateur traders. In this paper, we set out to apply formal statistical methods to two discrete trading models to gain a better understanding of their predictive power and utility.
我们探索并对比了两种不同的方法来提取股票市场时间序列数据演变的离散预测模型。具体而言,构建模型的两种方法是:一种是将常用的“空心烛台”框架应用于日水平的时间序列数据,并将结果输入R中的马尔可夫链推理模块;第二,将流行的技术指标“斐波那契扩展水平”应用于过滤后的时间序列数据,然后将价格走势转录成一个序列,并输入相同的马尔可夫链推理模块。尽管连续时间随机模型在计算交易行业和计量经济学学者中得到了很好的研究和广泛的应用,但本质上离散的模型在专业和业余交易者中仍然非常受欢迎。在本文中,我们着手将正式的统计方法应用于两个离散的交易模型,以更好地理解它们的预测能力和效用。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Technology Innovation Diffusion Model and Diffusion Characteristics on Educational Technology: Case Study of MOOC 教育技术技术创新扩散模式与扩散特征分析——以MOOC为例
Mengnan Zhu
With the development of educational informatization, the adoption and diffusion of educational technology have become hot research. As educational technology innovation, the MOOC has opened the "Internet + Education" integrated teaching model, and it realized the sharing and diffusion of college educational resources around the world. This paper selects MOOC as the research object and explores the educational technology diffusion, diffusion characteristics, and diffusion process of MOOC based on the innovation diffusion theory. Through the construction of the Bass model, the diffusion process of MOOC in the recent 10 years is analyzed from an objective perspective, and the future diffusion trend of MOOC is predicted.
随着教育信息化的发展,教育技术的采用和传播已成为研究的热点。MOOC作为教育技术创新,开启了“互联网+教育”一体化教学模式,实现了高校教育资源在全球范围内的共享和扩散。本文以MOOC为研究对象,基于创新扩散理论,探讨MOOC的教育技术扩散、扩散特征、扩散过程。通过构建Bass模型,客观分析近10年来MOOC的扩散过程,并对MOOC未来的扩散趋势进行预测。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of Relativity on the Theoretical Limit for the Periodic System of Elements beyond Uranium 相对论对铀以外元素周期系统理论极限的影响
Talal Al-Ameen, Imad Muhi, Maythem Mahmud
In the periodic table of elements there cannot be elements lighter than hydrogen, but there can be elements heavier than uranium. Presently about 26 transuranic are known. When atoms’ nuclei get heavier, more protons in the nucleus mean more Coulomb force pulling the inner most electrons in, so the electrons orbiting the heavy nuclei have to go faster and faster, reaching speeds that are a substantial fraction of the speed of light. At such high speeds, the electrons become “relativistic,” and the atoms behave differently from what is expected based on their position in the periodic table. Calculations for hydrogen-like atom show that the electrons would have to travel faster than light for atoms with atomic number , which is impossible. This paper questions the validity of incorporating Einstein's relativistic mass well-known formula, , to answer the long standing question of ‘Is there a maximum number of elements corresponding to a theoretical limit for the periodic system?’ We show here that Einstein's most celebrated equation holds if, and only if, the photon is conceived to be mass-ive.
元素周期表中不可能有比氢轻的元素,但可能有比铀重的元素。目前已知的超铀元素约有26种。当原子核变得更重时,原子核中更多的质子意味着更多的库仑力将内部的大多数电子拉进来,所以绕重原子核运行的电子必须越来越快,达到光速的很大一部分。在如此高的速度下,电子变得“相对论性”,原子的行为与基于它们在元素周期表中的位置所预期的不同。对类氢原子的计算表明,对于具有原子序数的原子,电子必须比光传播得快,这是不可能的。本文质疑用爱因斯坦的相对论质量公式来回答一个长期存在的问题的有效性,即“是否存在与周期系统的理论极限相对应的最大元素数量?”“我们在这里证明,爱因斯坦最著名的方程成立,当且仅当光子被认为是有质量的。
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引用次数: 0
Application of Stochastic Differential Equation in Atmospheric Temperature Prediction 随机微分方程在大气温度预报中的应用
Mingming Xu, Cijun Fang, Desheng Tian
Stochastic differential equations are widely used in atmospheric temperature prediction. This paper based on the established stochastic differential logistic model of global average temperature, it takes Euler's numerical model method to estimate the parameter values and analyze, evaluate the model fitting. The prediction efficiency of the model is determined thereby. Besides, the global average temperature for the next few years is predicted as stated in this paper. Finally, by analyzing the main research variable of global average temperature - environmental capacity, it shows that that if human beings do not get controlled, the global average temperature will continue to increase.
随机微分方程在大气温度预报中有着广泛的应用。本文在建立的全球平均气温随机微分logistic模型的基础上,采用欧拉数值模型方法对模型参数值进行估计,并对模型的拟合进行分析、评价。从而确定了模型的预测效率。此外,本文还对未来几年的全球平均气温进行了预测。最后,通过对全球平均温度的主要研究变量——环境容量的分析,表明如果人类不加以控制,全球平均温度将继续升高。
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引用次数: 0
The finite element simulation and optimization method of the temperature field of vacuum heat treatment based on Fluent 基于Fluent的真空热处理温度场有限元模拟与优化方法
Yunfei Zhou, Hongguang Yang, Bin Cheng, Cheng Wang
In the vacuum heat treatment process, the heat exchange process, temperature field distribution, and cooling rate field distribution inside the vacuum furnace are not easy to observe and measure directly. With the rapid development of numerical simulation technology, the production process of many actual projects can be reproduced on the computer, so that the problems in the project can be analyzed more intuitively and improvements and optimizations can be made.The simulation method generally adopted for the cooling process of vacuum heat treatment only considers the heat exchange process of the cooling gas in the heating chamber, and ignores the integrity of the heat exchange process of the cooling gas, which leads to low authenticity and reliability of the simulation results. The article proposes a cyclic cooling simulation method, and uses the cyclic cooling simulation method to simulate the cooling stage, and compares the simulation results with the experimental results to verify that the cyclic cooling simulation method has higher reliability and calculation accuracy.
在真空热处理过程中,真空炉内部的换热过程、温度场分布、冷却速率场分布等都不容易直接观察和测量。随着数值模拟技术的快速发展,许多实际项目的生产过程可以在计算机上重现,从而可以更直观地分析项目中的问题,并进行改进和优化。真空热处理冷却过程一般采用的模拟方法只考虑了加热室内冷却气体的换热过程,而忽略了冷却气体换热过程的完整性,导致模拟结果的真实性和可靠性较低。本文提出了一种循环冷却模拟方法,并利用循环冷却模拟方法对冷却阶段进行了模拟,并将模拟结果与实验结果进行了对比,验证了循环冷却模拟方法具有较高的可靠性和计算精度。
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引用次数: 0
Coronavirus statistics, Google mobility trend, and census demographics in US counties 冠状病毒统计数据、谷歌流动趋势以及美国各县的人口普查统计数据
Zhou Yang
The Coronavirus had been viral and heavily influenced daily lives for more than two years. Two popular procedures to combat the pandemic were general vaccine implantation and limited social contact. We evaluated the effectiveness of these procedures by exploring the trends of vaccination rate, public mobility, and case/death rate at the county level in the mainland United States overtime during 2021. In addition, we investigated how demographic variables such as education and income hindered or promoted vaccination and social contact at the county level. We tested the associations between vaccination rate, public mobility, demographics, and case/death rate using Spearman Correlation tests, Student t-tests, and linear regression. Our findings provide domestic statistical feedback to the anti-epidemic policies and help public health officials make informed decisions in the future.
两年多来,冠状病毒一直在传播,严重影响着人们的日常生活。抗击大流行的两种常用程序是一般接种疫苗和限制社会接触。我们通过探索2021年期间美国大陆县级疫苗接种率、公共流动性和病例/死亡率的趋势来评估这些程序的有效性。此外,我们还调查了教育和收入等人口统计变量如何阻碍或促进县一级的疫苗接种和社会接触。我们使用Spearman相关检验、学生t检验和线性回归检验疫苗接种率、公共流动性、人口统计学和病例/死亡率之间的关系。我们的研究结果为国内防疫政策提供了统计反馈,并有助于公共卫生官员在未来做出明智的决策。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Proceedings of the 2022 5th International Conference on Mathematics and Statistics
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