基于回归模型的创客教育研究方法

Si-Lin Liu, Mengzhen Xia
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着中国创客教育的快速发展,越来越多的科技企业、出版单位、科普场所、教育机构都参与到创客教育资源开发的热潮中来。对创客教育发展趋势的研究也呈现出上升趋势。然而,现有的趋势预测研究大多采用文献统计和主观判断的方式对创客教育的未来发展趋势进行预测,使得预测结果具有很强的主观性。为了解决这一问题,我们借鉴机器学习在数据预测方面的优势,提出了一种基于回归模型的创客教育研究方法。该方法的核心思想是在不添加主观因素的情况下,利用回归模型的特性来预测未来的创客教育。具体而言,我们根据收集到的历史数据建立回归模型,然后根据这些回归模型预测未来的发展。在实验中,我们基于2013 - 2019年中国创客教育的研究文献,验证了模型的有效性。
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Research Method of Maker Education Based on Regression Models
With the rapid development of maker education in China, more and more science and technology enterprises, publishing units, science popularization venues, and educational institutions have been involved in the upsurge of resource development for maker education. Research on the development trend of maker education also shows an upward trend. However, most of the existing studies on trend prediction give the future development trend of maker education in the way of literature statistics and subjective judgment, which makes the prediction results strongly subjective. In order to solve this problem, we drew on the advantages of machine learning in data prediction and proposed a research method for maker education based on regression models. The core idea of the proposed method is to use the characteristics of regression models to predict future maker education without adding subjective factors. Specifically, we built regression models based on the collected historical data, and then predicted future development based on these regression models. In the experiment, we verified the effectiveness of the model based on the research literature on maker education in China from 2013 to 2019.
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