研究人类发展指数与社会经济变量的关系:面板数据分析

Siti Ayu Jalil, Mohamad Nadzrul Kamaruddin
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引用次数: 3

摘要

人类发展指数(HDI)从人类发展的三个基本方面衡量平均成就:健康长寿、获得知识和体面的生活水平。本研究旨在调查选定的15个发展中国家在5年期间(2010-2014年)的三个维度(即平均受教育年限、预期受教育年限、国内生产总值、预期寿命和卫生支出)所代表的社会经济变量对人类发展指数的影响。面板数据分析检验了混合回归模型、固定效应模型和随机效应模型。研究结果表明,面板固定效应模型(FEM)是描述该研究的最佳模型。在有限元模型中,平均受教育年数、预期受教育年数、预期寿命和人均国内生产总值对人类发展指数有显著的正向影响,而卫生支出是唯一不显著的变量。因此,可以这样说,在这15个选定的国家中,尽管教育和更高的GDP对于实现更高水平的人类发展指数至关重要,但预期寿命也被认为是暗示更高水平的人类发展指数的重要指标。
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Examining the Relationship Between Human Development Index and Socio-Economic Variables: A Panel Data Analysis
Human Development Index (HDI) measures the average achievements from three basic dimensions of human development: a long and healthy life, access to knowledge and a decent standard of living. This study is to investigate the impact of socio-economic variables represented by the three dimensions i.e. mean years of schooling, expected years of schooling, gross domestic product, life expectancy and health expenditure on HDI in fifteen selected developing countries within a 5-year period (2010-2014). The panel data analysis tested the pooled regression model, fixed effects and random effects models. The findings indicated that the Panel Fixed Effects Model (FEM) has proven to be the best model to describe the study. From the FEM model, four predictors have shown significant positive effect on human development index which are, the mean years of schooling, expected years of schooling, life expectancy and GDP per capita whereas, health expenditure is the only variable that shows insignificant relationship. Hence, it can be stated that in these fifteen selected nations despite education and higher GDP are essential to achieve a higher level of HDI, life expectancy is also perceived as a vital indicator to imply a better level of HDI.
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