利用递归神经网络进行风能预测

Noman Shabbir, L. Kütt, M. Jawad, Roya Amadiahanger, M. N. Iqbal, A. Rosin
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引用次数: 9

摘要

风能预测是一项非常具有挑战性的任务,因为它涉及许多可变因素,从风速,天气季节,位置和许多其他因素。它的准确预测对维持供需平衡以及与电力系统可靠性相关的问题非常有帮助。在本文中,基于循环神经网络(RNN)的预测算法用于爱沙尼亚风力发电三天前的预测。然后将爱沙尼亚能源监管机构的预测发电量算法与基于RNN的算法进行了比较。仿真结果表明,该算法具有较低的均方根误差(RMSE),预测效果较好。
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Wind Energy Forecasting Using Recurrent Neural Networks
Wind energy forecasting is a very challenging task as it involves many variable factors from wind speed, weather season, location and many other factors. Its accurate prediction can be quite helpful in maintaining the balance between demand and supply, and issues related to the reliability of a power system. In this article, the Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) based forecasting algorithm is used for the three day-ahead predictions of energy generation from wind sources in Estonia. Then a comparison is made between the predicted energy generation of Estonian energy regulatory authority's algorithm and this RNN based algorithm. The simulation results show that our proposed algorithm has lower Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) value and it gives better forecasting.
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