石油冲击对中国工业经济影响的实证研究

Qian Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

石油在产业链中涉及广泛,很明显,油价冲击会通过产业链的传导影响到我们生产生活的方方面面。根据冲击的性质,我们将其分解为四种不同的类型,分析了中国产业链中一些典型行业的传导机制。通过对不同冲击对典型行业的影响的研究,我们发现:由于油价对产业链的转化或转移能力不同,产业链上不同的行业会受到不同的影响;特别是石油供应对典型行业的冲击比其他行业更大。
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An empirical study on the effect of oil shocks on China's industrial economy
Oil is extensive involved in industry chain, it is obvious that the oil price shocks could affect all aspects of our production and life through the industry-chains' transmission. Based on the nature of the shocks, we would decompose them into four different types, analyze the transmission mechanisms on some typical industries which in Chinese industry-chain. According to the researches about the influences on typical industries brought by these different shocks, we could find that: because of the various transformation or transference abilities of oil price on industry-chain, different industries in the chain would encounter different impacts; especially the supply oil shocks on the typical sectors are greater than others.
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