伦敦证券交易所交叉上市的俄罗斯存托凭证的市场效率与套利机会

O. Kim
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文从两个角度考察了俄罗斯股票市场的效率。首先,我们证明了在伦敦证券交易所(LSE)主要市场作为全球存托凭证(gdr)交叉上市的俄罗斯公司样本,从当地市场和伦敦证券交易所获得的收益序列是时不变的,因此是可预测的。这表明,市场在为俄罗斯gdr定价方面效率低下,投资者可能会获得系统性的非零利润。其次,我们记录了围绕采用国际财务报告准则的公告的盈利套利机会,这是市场无效的另一个证据。在这个关键日期观察到的显著定价价差是由于市场对采用国际财务报告准则的不同反应——以个人交易者为主的当地MICEX交易所中性,而以机构投资者为主的伦敦证券交易所则明显负面。这一发现可以用(i)由于地理邻近而导致的当地投资者的信息优势,(ii)对治理规范和上市要求的不同期望,以及(iii)两个投资者群体的投资组合构成的差异来解释。
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Market Efficiency and Arbitrage Opportunities for Russian Depositary Receipts Cross- Listed on the London Stock Exchange
This study examines the Russian stock market efficiency from two perspectives. First, we document that for the sample of Russian firms cross-listed on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) as Global Depositary Receipts (GDRs), the return series obtained from both the local market and the LSE are time-invariant and hence, predictable. This suggests that the market is inefficient with respect to pricing Russian GDRs and that investors are likely to make systematic nonzero profits. Second, we document profitable arbitrage opportunity surrounding the announcement to adopt IFRS, which is an additional evidence of market inefficiency. The significant pricing spread observed on this key date was due to the differential market reaction to IFRS adoption — neutral on the local MICEX exchange dominated by individual traders and significantly negative on the LSE dominated by institutional investors. This finding can be explained by (i) informational advantages of the local investors due to geographic proximity, (ii) differential expectations with respect to governance norms and listing requirements, and (iii) difference in portfolio composition of the two investor groups.
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