基于Logistic回归和多层感知机的移动网络客户流失预测

S. Bharadwaj, Anil B.S., Abhiraj Pahargarh, Adhiraj Pahargarh, P. S. Gowra, Sharath Kumar
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引用次数: 9

摘要

客户关系营销很重要,因为它提供了客户和组织之间的长期关系。客户流失阻碍了盈利客户的增长,是维持电信网络的最大挑战。我们提出了两个模型,预测客户流失与高精度。我们的第一个模型是一个逻辑回归模型,它是一个非线性分类器,它的激活函数是sigmoid。通过将正则化参数设置为0.01对模型进行正则化,提高了模型的准确性,在我们的测试数据集上给出了87.52%的准确率。我们的第二个模型是一个成熟的多层感知器(MLP)神经网络,具有归一化的输入特征向量,该特征向量与三个隐藏层堆叠,并使用二元交叉熵作为学习率为0.01的损失函数。该模型被分割成一个测试训练集,准确率达到94.19%。利用这种预测模型,组织可以进行市场调查,详细研究特定客户的需求。利用这些数据,他们可以在客户提出要求之前根据客户需求生产产品,并将其呈现给客户。这有助于建立品牌忠诚度,从而形成可持续发展的网络。
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Customer Churn Prediction in Mobile Networks using Logistic Regression and Multilayer Perceptron(MLP)
Customer relationship marketing is important since it provides a long standing relationship between the customer and the organization. Churn obstructs the growth of profitable customers and it is the biggest challenge to sustain a telecommunication network. We propose two models which predicts customer churn with a high degree of accuracy. Our first model is a logistic regression model which is a non-linear classifier with sigmoid as its activation function. The accuracy of the model is heightened by regularizing it with the regularizing parameter set to 0.01 and this gives an accuracy of 87.52% on our test dataset. Our second model is a full fledged Multilayer Perceptron(MLP) Neural Network with a normalized input feature vector which is stacked with three hidden layers and employs binary cross entropy as the loss function with a learning rate of 0.01. This model is split into a test-train set and achieves an accuracy of 94.19%. Using this predictive model the organization can conduct marketing research and study the needs of the particular customer in detail. Using that data they can produce goods according to the customer needs before the customer demands and present it to them. This helps to create brand loyalty which in turn leads to a sustainable network.
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