运动结果联合估计的多元广义线性混合模型

Jennifer Broatch, Andrew T. Karl
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文探讨了在考虑来自不同假设分布的多个游戏级别响应的团队级别随机效应的潜在相关性时,预测精度和推理能力的改进。采用一阶和全指数拉普拉斯近似拟合具有非嵌套随机效应结构的正态二元和泊松二元多元广义线性混合模型。我们将这些模型构建到R软件包mvglmmRank中,该软件包用于研究美国大学橄榄球和篮球的几个赛季的数据。
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Multivariate Generalized Linear Mixed Models for Joint Estimation of Sporting Outcomes
This paper explores improvements in prediction accuracy and inference capability when allowing for potential correlation in team-level random effects across multiple game-level responses from different assumed distributions. First-order and fully exponential Laplace approximations are used to fit normal-binary and Poisson-binary multivariate generalized linear mixed models with non-nested random effects structures. We have built these models into the R package mvglmmRank, which is used to explore several seasons of American college football and basketball data.
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