病毒流行的强度和范围

Mustafa Alendar, Semina Ajvaz
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摘要

本文的目的是探讨建立病毒流行的强度和范围的尺度的可能性,这将作为流行病在特定地区的影响的媒体呈现。在公共领域,自然事件的尺度,如外部温度、地震、海强度等。已经为人所知并被普遍接受。所有这些尺度都通过其上显示的数字/值为我们提供有关现象的精确信息。在这项工作中使用的方法是基于公开信息构建一个原始的计算尺度/水平的公式,并通过一个已建立的网站监测超过十个月的结果[1]。本研究的结果是成功建立了一个规模从0到8的量表。其功能是简单明了地反映一个国家或地区的Covid - 19病毒的强度和程度。研究始于2003年。2021. 31.01.2022。经证实,目前各国出台的措施,与规模结果相吻合。这是信息科学领域的一个相对尺度,目的是确定某些地区受病毒流行病影响的强度和程度。该量表(或其他量表)将减少新闻和报道“信息泛滥”的后果,因为公众很难从中了解疫情的真实状况。Covid - 19成为一个有意义的事件。这个事件现在是这样呈现的,我们的头脑可以理解这个外部现象。此量表也可用于其他病毒的流行/大流行。[1] www.viruscale.info
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Scale of intensity and extent of the virus epidemic
The goal of this article is to investigate the possibility of establishing a Scale of intensity and extent of the virus epidemic, that would serve as a media presentation of the impact the epidemic in a particular area. In the public sphere, the scaling of natural events such as external temperature, earthquake, sea strength...etc. is already known and generally accepted. All these scales give us precise information about the phenomenon through the number/value shown on it. The methods used in this work are constructing an original formula for calculating the scale / level based on publicly available information, and monitoring the results over ten months through an established website[1]. The result of this research is the successful establishment of a Scale with size from 0 to 8. Its function is to simply and clearly represent the intensity and extent of the Covid 19 virus for a country or region. The research from 20.03. 2021. to 31.01.2022. is confirmed that the current state measures introduced by different countries, coincide with the results of the scale. This is a relative scale in the field of information science and is intended is to determine the intensity and extent of the impact of certain areas from viral epidemics. The Scale (this - or some other scale) will reduce the consequences of the „infodemia“ of news and reports, from which the public can hardly understand the real state of the epidemic. Covid 19 became an event with purport. This event is now presented so, that our mind can comprehend this external phenomenon. This Scale can also be used for epidemics / pandemics of other viruses. [1] www.viruscale.info
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