2018-2021年切尔诺夫茨地区肺炎(包括COVID-19)发病率的医学统计分析

V. Bachynskyi, B.V. Sirota, Iryna Bachynska - Khomenko, Kateryna Sirota
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摘要

目前,由SARS-CoV-2引起的病毒感染是现代卫生保健最紧迫的问题之一,具有重要的医学和社会意义。世界卫生组织于2020年3月11日宣布新冠肺炎大流行。该病的特点是临床表现的多态性,从呼吸道损伤到明显的肠道表现,然而,最严重的形式仍然是由COVID-19引起的病毒性肺炎。我们的目标。根据2020-2021年的数据,对切尔诺夫茨州境内COVID-19肺炎的医院发病率和死亡率进行医学统计分析,概述2018-2019年肺炎(J12-J16, J18)的发病率和死亡率动态。研究对象和研究方法。主要的研究方法是生物统计学方法,根据乌克兰国家统计局(2018-2021)的数据,采用生物统计学方法确定了切尔诺夫茨地区20号表格材料的样本人口代表性和统计处理,以及年平均人口数据。结果。新冠肺炎对上呼吸道疾病的模式和发病率产生了显著影响,肺炎的比例增加了三倍以上。COVID-19 IP不影响儿童,这在一定程度上与该疾病在宫前和宫内不可能传播有关。2020年,成人COVID-19的平均死亡率为0.54‰,2021年为- 1.1‰。而新冠肺炎前的死亡率则不显著,不超过0.015‰。结论。2021年的平均死亡率比2019年的高峰死亡率高出7.3倍,这表明卫生保健系统对类似规模的挑战准备不足,这在一定程度上可能与该病的流行病学、诊断和治疗问题的不确定性以及处于改革中期的卫生保健系统的不完善有关。
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MEDICO-STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE INCIDENCE OF PNEUMONIA, INCLUDING THOSE CAUSED BY COVID-19 IN THE CHERNIVTSI REGION DURING 2018–2021
One of the most urgent problems of modern health care is currently a viral infection caused by SARS-CoV-2, which has acquired both significant medical and social significance. The World Health Organization declared the COVID-19 pandemic on March 11, 2020. The disease is characterized by a polymorphism of the clinical picture from damage to the respiratory tract to pronounced intestinal manifestations, nevertheless, the most severe form remains viral pneumonia caused by COVID-19. The goal. Conducting a medical-statistical analysis of hospital morbidity and mortality from pneumonia caused by COVID-19 in the territory of Chernivtsi region according to the data of 2020-2021, with an overview of the dynamics of morbidity and mortality from pneumonia (J12-J16, J18) in 2018-2019. Object and research methods. The leading research method was the biostatistical method, which was used to confirm the representativeness of the sample population and statistical processing of the materials of form No. 20 for the Chernivtsi region, and data on the average annual population, obtained according to the data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine (2018-2021). The results. COVID-19-induced pneumonia (IP) has significantly affected the pattern and incidence rate of upper respiratory tract diseases, increasing the proportion of pneumonia more than thrice. COVID-19 IP does not affect children which is to some extent related to the impossibility of transmitting the disease during the pre- and intrauterine periods. In 2020, the average mortality from COVID-19 among the adult population was 0.54‰ and in 2021 – 1.1‰. Mortality in the pre-COVID era, in turn, was not significant, did not exceed 0.015‰. Conclusions. The average mortality in 2021 exceeded the peak mortality of 2019 by 7.3 times which indicates the unpreparedness of the health care system for a challenge of a similar scale, which to a certain extent can be related to both the uncertainty regarding the issues of epidemiology, diagnosis and treatment of this disease and the imperfection of the health care system, which was at an intermediate stage of reformation.
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