(非对称)贸易成本、实际汇率套期保值与多国模型中的股权本土偏好

J. Pyun
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引用次数: 3

摘要

(两国)理论和实证之间一直存在争议,即对商品市场实际汇率波动的对冲是否会影响外国股权持有。本研究通过引入具有不对称贸易成本的多国框架,使理论与实证相协调。我们发现,持有外国股票以对冲实际汇率风险的动机可以忽略不计,因为多个贸易伙伴充当了实际汇率波动的对冲渠道。进一步,我们的理论要求将一个国家的协方差比构建为多个合作伙伴双边协方差比的总和。对24个发达国家的实证分析证实了这一理论预测。
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(Asymmetric) Trade Costs, Real Exchange Rate Hedging, and Equity Home Bias in a Multicountry Model
There has been controversy between (two‐country) theory and the empirics about whether hedging against real exchange rate fluctuations in the goods market influences foreign equity holdings. This study reconciles the theory with the empirics by introducing a multicountry framework with asymmetric trade costs. We find that the incentive to hold foreign equities to hedge real exchange rate risk is negligible because multiple trade partners act as a hedging channel for real exchange rate fluctuations. Further, our theory calls for a country's covariance–variance ratio to be constructed as the sum of the bilateral covariance–variance ratios of the multiple partners. The empirical analysis of 24 advanced countries confirms the theoretical prediction.
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