利用SRA、PCA和神经网络的混合方法研究了德黑兰证券交易所电气行业技术指标的表现

Davoud Gholamiangonabadi, Seyed Danial Mohseni Taheri, A. Mohammadi, M. Menhaj
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引用次数: 18

摘要

由于电力工业在各个工业部门的高度应用,电力能源的产生和分配是各国面临的最大挑战之一。下一步是在发电后将其适当合格地分配到发电厂。因此,本文根据供应商在配电发电中的关键作用来研究德黑兰证券交易所(TSE)电缆公司的效率。在利用时间序列进行预测中,价格指标的走势预测一直是一个具有挑战性的任务。对价格指标变动的准确预测可以为投资者提供许多特权。由于股票市场数据的复杂性,开发有效的模型往往并不简单。本研究利用金融市场的技术分析工具,将主成分分析(PCA)、逐步回归分析(SRA)和人工神经网络(ANN)等方法相结合。在此基础上,对各指标集预测股票总价格走势的效率进行了比较。本研究中使用的数据是从2007年至2013年间证券交易所的有线电视公司收集的。运用实证研究结果,提出了一套有效的预测东京证交所电缆公司总价格指标变动的技术指标。本研究的其他结果表明,与PCA和神经网络相比,SRA和神经网络的准确率更高。
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Investigating the performance of technical indicators in electrical industry in Tehran's Stock Exchange using hybrid methods of SRA, PCA and Neural Networks
According to high application of electrical industry in different industrial branches, generation and distribution of power energy is one of the most challenges of countries. The next step is its appropriate and qualified distribution after generation of electricity in powerhouses. Hence, this paper investigates the efficiency of cable companies in Tehrans Stock Exchange (TSE) according to key effects of providers in power distribution generation. Prediction price indicator movement has always been a challenging task in the exploitation of time series for forecasting. Exact prediction of price indicator movement may offer numerous privileges for investors. As a result of the complexity of stock market data, development of efficient models is often not simple. This research have combined a number of methods namely as Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Stepwise Regression Analysis (SRA) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) by technical analysis tools of financial markets. In proceeding, the efficiency of each set in predicting the indicator trend of stocks' total price, have been compared. Data used in this research have been collected from cable companies in the stock exchange between 2007 and 2013. Using empirical results, this research introduces an efficient set of technical indicators for forecasting total price indicator movement in cable companies in TSE. Other results of this research indicate more accuracy of SRA and neural networks in comparison with PCA and neural networks.
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