观察学习下的声誉建设

H. Pei
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引用次数: 9

摘要

一位耐心的卖家与一群近视的消费者互动。每一个时期,销售者选择他的产品的质量,消费者在观察销售者在最后K个时期的行为(有限的记忆)和至少一个前消费者的行为(观察学习)后决定是否信任销售者。然而,消费者不能观察到卖方在当期的行为。在正概率下,卖方为承诺型,在每个时期都采取Stackelberg行动。我表明,在有限的记忆和观察学习下,消费者担心销售者在拥有积极声誉时不会采取他的Stackelberg行动,而在失去声誉后会采取他的Stackelberg行动。这种担忧会导致均衡,在这种均衡中,卖家从建立声誉中获得的回报很低。我还证明了我的声誉失败结果取决于消费者的观察学习。
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Reputation Building under Observational Learning
A patient seller interacts with a sequence of myopic consumers. Each period, the seller chooses the quality of his product, and a consumer decides whether to trust the seller after she observes the seller’s actions in the last K periods (limited memory) and at least one previous consumer’s action (observational learning). However, the consumer cannot observe the seller’s action in the current period. With positive probability, the seller is a commitment type who plays his Stackelberg action in every period. I show that under limited memory and observational learning, consumers are concerned that the seller will not play his Stackelberg action when he has a positive reputation and will play his Stackelberg action after he has lost his reputation. Such a concern leads to equilibria where the seller receives a low payoff from building a reputation. I also show that my reputation failure result hinges on consumers’ observational learning.
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