通货膨胀影响、美元美元汇率、世界原油价格和印尼黄金价格联合股价指数

Fadhel Kesarditama, H. Haryadi, Yohanes Vyn Amzar
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究旨在分析宏观经济变量与印尼黄金价格的走势,确定宏观经济变量对印尼黄金价格的影响。本研究采用定量方法。使用的数据是2014年1月至2019年12月的二手数据。使用的分析工具和技术是使用线性趋势方法的趋势分析和使用普通最小二乘法的多元线性回归模型。经过处理的五个研究变量表明,数据趋势的方向存在差异。其中,黄金价格、汇率、综合股价指数等变量为正趋势,通货膨胀、世界原油价格等变量为负趋势。此外,汇率、世界原油价格、综合股票价格指数等变量对印尼黄金价格均有显著的正向影响。而通货膨胀变量对印尼黄金价格的影响是负面的,且显著的。关键词:通货膨胀,外汇,原油价格,idx综合指数,黄金价格
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Pengaruh inflasi, nilai tukar rupiah per dollar Amerika, harga minyak mentah dunia dan indeks harga saham gabungan terhadap harga emas di Indonesia
This study aims to analyze the trend of macroeconomic variables and gold prices in Indonesia and to determine the effect of macroeconomic variables on gold prices in Indonesia. This study uses a quantitative approach. The data used is secondary data from January 2014-December 2019. The analytical tools and techniques used are trend analysis with a linear trend approach and multiple linear regression models using the Ordinary Least Square method. The five research variables that were processed showed that there were differences in the direction of the data trend. Where the variables of Gold Price, Exchange Rate, and Composite Stock Price Index show a positive trend, while the variables of Inflation and World Crude Oil Prices show a negative trend. Furthermore, the variables of Exchange Rate, world Crude Oil Price, and Composite Stock Price Index show a positive and significant influence on the Gold Price in Indonesia. While the inflation variable shows a negative and significant effect on the Gold Price in Indonesia. Keywords: Inflation, foreign exchange,crude oil prices, idx composite and gold prices
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