工资风险与投资组合选择:相关收益的作用

J. König, Maximilian Longmuir
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引用次数: 1

摘要

从标准的投资组合选择理论来看,背景风险(主要由工资风险引起)是个人投资组合构成的核心决定因素之一,这一点很好理解:较高的背景风险降低了高风险投资。但如果背景风险与金融市场风险呈负相关,则背景风险越大,投资风险越大。我们量化了工资风险对德国投资者金融投资组合份额的影响,发现工资残差每增加一个标准差,金融投资组合份额就会减少3个百分点。我们没有发现工资风险与金融市场风险的相关性对投资组合选择有显著影响,并提供证据表明这可能是由于缺乏显著性。
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Wage Risk and Portfolio Choice: The Role of Correlated Returns
From standard portfolio-choice theory it is well-understood that background risk, overwhelmingly due to wage risk, is one of the central determinants of individuals’ portfolio composition: higher background risk reduces risky investments. However, if background risk is negatively correlated with financial market risk, higher background risk implies more risky investment. We quantify the influence of wage risk on German investors’ financial portfolio shares and find that an increase of the residual variance of wages by one standard deviation implies a reduction of the financial portfolio share by 3 percentage points. We do not find that the correlation of wage risk with financial market risk has a significant impact on portfolio choice and provide evidence that this may be due to a lack of salience.
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