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ERN: Other Econometrics: Applied Econometric Modeling in Microeconomics - Microeconometric Models of Household Behavior (Topic)最新文献

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Wage Risk and Portfolio Choice: The Role of Correlated Returns 工资风险与投资组合选择:相关收益的作用
J. König, Maximilian Longmuir
From standard portfolio-choice theory it is well-understood that background risk, overwhelmingly due to wage risk, is one of the central determinants of individuals’ portfolio composition: higher background risk reduces risky investments. However, if background risk is negatively correlated with financial market risk, higher background risk implies more risky investment. We quantify the influence of wage risk on German investors’ financial portfolio shares and find that an increase of the residual variance of wages by one standard deviation implies a reduction of the financial portfolio share by 3 percentage points. We do not find that the correlation of wage risk with financial market risk has a significant impact on portfolio choice and provide evidence that this may be due to a lack of salience.
从标准的投资组合选择理论来看,背景风险(主要由工资风险引起)是个人投资组合构成的核心决定因素之一,这一点很好理解:较高的背景风险降低了高风险投资。但如果背景风险与金融市场风险呈负相关,则背景风险越大,投资风险越大。我们量化了工资风险对德国投资者金融投资组合份额的影响,发现工资残差每增加一个标准差,金融投资组合份额就会减少3个百分点。我们没有发现工资风险与金融市场风险的相关性对投资组合选择有显著影响,并提供证据表明这可能是由于缺乏显著性。
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引用次数: 1
Marketing Management When Facing Forward-Looking Consumers 面对前瞻性消费者的营销管理
Andrew T. Ching
As information technology improves rapidly and becomes more accessible, it becomes much easier for consumers to gather product in-formation and spend more time thinking about how to get the most out of their budget constraints. This means that consumers are getting “smarter” and more forward-looking, as well as acting more strategically. Recent academic research has substantially improved our understanding of how forward-looking consumers make decisions. In this chapter, I will discuss some of the research in this area and the challenges a manager faces when customers are forward-looking and strategic.
随着信息技术的迅速发展和越来越容易获得,消费者收集产品信息变得更加容易,并花更多的时间思考如何最大限度地利用他们的预算限制。这意味着消费者变得更“聪明”,更有远见,行动也更有战略意义。最近的学术研究大大提高了我们对前瞻性消费者如何做出决定的理解。在本章中,我将讨论这一领域的一些研究,以及当客户具有前瞻性和战略性时,管理者面临的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Income Loss and Financial Distress during COVID-19: The Protective Role of Liquid Assets COVID-19期间的收入损失和财务困境:流动资产的保护作用
S. Roll, M. Despard
Nearly a quarter of U.S. households have experienced job or income losses related to the COVID-19 pandemic. Liquid assets mitigate financial distress in the face of financial shocks such as job loss, yet this relationship in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic is unknown. Using a nationally representative sample of U.S. households (N = 4,383) who completed a survey in the early days of the pandemic, we examined pre-pandemic liquid assets as a moderator of the relationship between job and income loss and difficulty meeting financial obligations and use of high-cost financial resources. Estimates from propensity score-weighted linear probability models indicated that greater liquid assets lessened the probability of experiencing all eight measures of financial distress and most measures of distress among households experiencing job or income losses. Policy efforts to help households build emergency savings can help households better prepare for future pandemics while also supporting public health responses.
近四分之一的美国家庭经历了与COVID-19大流行相关的工作或收入损失。在面临失业等金融冲击时,流动资产可以缓解财务困境,但在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,这种关系尚不清楚。我们使用在大流行早期完成调查的具有全国代表性的美国家庭样本(N = 4383),研究了大流行前的流动资产作为工作和收入损失与难以履行财务义务和使用高成本金融资源之间关系的调节因子。倾向得分加权线性概率模型的估计表明,更大的流动资产减少了经历所有八种财务困境措施的可能性,以及经历工作或收入损失的家庭中大多数痛苦措施的可能性。帮助家庭建立应急储蓄的政策努力可以帮助家庭更好地为未来的大流行病做好准备,同时也支持公共卫生应对措施。
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引用次数: 19
Hunger and the Demands for Cheap Dietary Staples of the Extreme Poor 极端贫困人口的饥饿和对廉价主食的需求
R. Armendariz
I construct a tractable structural model of a poor household's demand for cheap dietary staples. This model characterizes the trade-offs that a poor household faces between satiating hunger and satisfying other needs when it spends its scarce resources on food. I use this model to extrapolate the equivalent variation, the willingness to pay, and the dead-weight loss of Jensen and Miller's (2008) price subsidy experiment on cheap dietary staples among the extreme poor (figure 1), and I also use it to extrapolate Pareto improving policies relative to their subsidy treatment (figure 5).
我构建了一个贫困家庭对廉价主食需求的易于处理的结构模型。该模型描述了贫困家庭在将稀缺资源用于购买食物时,在满足饥饿和满足其他需求之间所面临的权衡。我用这个模型来推断Jensen和Miller(2008)对极端贫困人口中廉价主食的价格补贴实验的等效变化、支付意愿和死重量损失(图1),我也用它来推断与补贴待遇相关的帕累托改善政策(图5)。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional and Human-Nature Determinants of Financial Investment Behavior Across European Households 欧洲家庭金融投资行为的制度和人性决定因素
A. Plopeanu, N. Sprincean, Daniel Homocianu, A. Andrieș
This paper explores the institutional and human-nature determinants of financial investment behavior across households from 25 European countries by employing the seventh wave of the SHARE-ERIC survey. We find that households’ investment behavior in shares or stocks is strongly associated with other financial decisions, such as the investments in retirement accounts and life insurance policies, gender and the computer usage skills. Besides individual characteristics widely studied in the literature and associated with investement propensity in financial instruments, we document that institutional factors matter too. Our findings reveal that the longer individuals had a period of exposure to a socialist system, the lesser their intensity to invest in the stock market in comparison with their capitalist counterparts. One noteworthy result is that the individuals from former communist countries that experienced the fastest and most successful transition had the lowest predilection to invest in stock market. In the same vein, weak institutional frameworks and left-wing ideological orientation of national governments are linked with lower probability of an individual to make financial investments in shares or stocks. In addition, we find that households from Protestant and Orthodox countries are more inclined to have investments in financial instruments in comparison with their Catholic counterparts. Last but not least, while ethnic, linguistic and religious fractionalization indexes play a negative role on investment behavior, national cultural values and dimensions exert a significant role in households’ investment mentality.
本文通过采用SHARE-ERIC调查的第七波,探讨了25个欧洲国家家庭金融投资行为的制度和人性决定因素。我们发现,家庭对股票或股票的投资行为与其他财务决策密切相关,例如对退休账户和人寿保险政策的投资、性别和计算机使用技能。除了在文献中广泛研究并与金融工具的投资倾向相关的个人特征外,我们还发现制度因素也很重要。我们的研究结果表明,个人在社会主义制度下的时间越长,与资本主义制度下的人相比,他们投资股市的强度就越小。一个值得注意的结果是,经历了最快和最成功转型的前共产主义国家的个人对股票市场的投资偏好最低。同样,薄弱的制度框架和国家政府的左翼意识形态倾向与个人对股票或股票进行金融投资的可能性较低有关。此外,我们发现,与天主教家庭相比,来自新教和东正教国家的家庭更倾向于投资金融工具。最后,虽然民族、语言和宗教分数化指标对投资行为有负向影响,但民族文化价值观和维度对家庭投资心态有显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
Spousal Concordance in Joint and Separate Households: Survey Evidence from Nepal 联合和分离家庭的配偶和谐:来自尼泊尔的调查证据
Kate Ambler, C. Doss, Caitlin Kieran, Simone Passarelli
Using data from Nepal, we analyze patterns of concordance between spouses on survey questions regarding asset ownership and decision making separately for households in which a respondent couple lives with the husband’s parents and those in which they do not. We consider concordance regarding both the roles of women respondents and the roles of people other than the respondent couple. We find that discordance regarding women’s roles is both substantial and systematic; women are much more likely than men to report women’s participation in asset ownership and decision making, and this qualitative pattern is similar across household types. Regarding the role of others, the modal response in joint households is concordance that others own assets and make decisions. However, women are more likely than men to acknowledge this role of others. Next, we find that spousal concordance that women have a role, and wives reporting they have a role while their husbands say that they do not, are both correlated with some improved measures of well-being. In households with in-laws present, concordance that others are involved is correlated with worse outcomes for women. These results highlight that spousal concordance is not necessarily indicative of women's well-being, especially in joint households.
使用来自尼泊尔的数据,我们分析了配偶之间关于资产所有权和单独决策的调查问题的一致性模式,其中受访者夫妇与丈夫的父母住在一起,而那些他们没有。我们考虑关于女性受访者的角色和受访者夫妇以外的人的角色的一致性。我们发现,关于女性角色的不协调既是实质性的,也是系统性的;女性比男性更有可能报告女性参与资产所有权和决策,这种定性模式在各种家庭类型中都是相似的。对于他人的角色,共同家庭的模态反应是他人拥有资产和决策的一致性。然而,女性比男性更有可能承认他人的这一角色。接下来,我们发现,认为女性有角色的配偶一致性,以及认为自己有角色的妻子而丈夫说自己没有角色的妻子,都与一些改善的幸福感指标相关。在有姻亲在场的家庭中,其他人参与的和谐与女性更糟糕的结果相关。这些结果强调,配偶的和谐并不一定表明妇女的幸福,特别是在共同家庭中。
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引用次数: 6
Important Factors Determining Fintech Loan Default: Evidence from the LendingClub Consumer Platform 决定金融科技贷款违约的重要因素:来自LendingClub消费者平台的证据
C. Croux, Julapa Jagtiani, Tarunsai Korivi, Milos Vulanovic
This study examines key default determinants of fintech loans, using loan-level data from the LendingClub consumer platform during 2007–2018. We identify a robust set of contractual loan characteristics, borrower characteristics, and macroeconomic variables that are important in determining default. We find an important role of alternative data in determining loan default, even after controlling for the obvious risk characteristics and the local economic factors. The results are robust to different empirical approaches. We also find that homeownership and occupation are important factors in determining default. Lenders, however, are required to demonstrate that these factors do not result in any unfair credit decisions. In addition, we find that personal loans used for medical financing or small business financing are more risky than other personal loans, holding the same characteristics of the borrowers. Government support through various public-private programs could potentially make funding more accessible to those in need of medical services and small businesses without imposing excessive risk to small peer-to-peer (P2P) investors.
本研究使用LendingClub消费者平台2007-2018年的贷款水平数据,研究了金融科技贷款的关键违约决定因素。我们确定了一套强有力的合同贷款特征、借款人特征和宏观经济变量,这些变量对确定违约很重要。我们发现,即使在控制了明显的风险特征和当地经济因素之后,替代数据在确定贷款违约方面也发挥了重要作用。结果对不同的经验方法是稳健的。我们还发现,房屋所有权和职业是决定违约的重要因素。然而,贷款人必须证明这些因素不会导致任何不公平的信贷决策。此外,我们发现用于医疗融资或小企业融资的个人贷款比其他个人贷款风险更大,具有相同的借款人特征。政府通过各种公私合作项目提供支持,有可能使那些需要医疗服务的人和小企业更容易获得资金,而不会给小型点对点(P2P)投资者带来过度风险。
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引用次数: 0
The Wife's Protector: A Quantitative Theory Linking Contraceptive Technology with the Decline in Marriage 妻子的保护者:避孕技术与婚姻衰落的定量理论
Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner, K. Kopecky
The 19th and 20th centuries saw a transformation in contraceptive technologies and their take up. This led to a sexual revolution, which witnessed a rise in premarital sex and out-of-wedlock births, and a decline in marriage. The impact of contraception on married and single life is analyzed here both theoretically and quantitatively. The analysis is conducted using a model where people search for partners. Upon finding one, they can choose between abstinence, marriage, and a premarital sexual relationship. The model is confronted with some stylized facts about premarital sex and marriage over the course of the 20th century. Some economic history is also presented.
19世纪和20世纪见证了避孕技术的变革和普及。这导致了一场性革命,见证了婚前性行为和非婚生育的增加,以及婚姻的下降。本文从理论上和数量上分析了避孕对已婚和单身生活的影响。分析是使用人们寻找伴侣的模型进行的。一旦找到了,他们可以在禁欲、结婚和婚前性关系之间做出选择。在20世纪的过程中,该模型面临着一些关于婚前性行为和婚姻的程式化事实。还介绍了一些经济史。
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引用次数: 5
The Effects of Pension-Related Policies on Household Spending 养老金相关政策对家庭支出的影响
Susana Párraga Rodríguez
This paper estimates the impact of pension-related policies on household spending. The identification strategy exploits the deviation in pensioner income and expenditure caused by the introduction of a new pension system during the 1980s and 1990s in Spain and constructs a new narrative series of legislated pension changes. I present a variety of estimates, some of them imply that increases in the average pension have a roughly one-for-one effect on pensioner spending. The strongest effects are on the pensioners with the highest levels of expenditure, income, and wealth. Estimates for different categories of expenditure indicate that benefit increases trigger these pensioners to spend more on durables. At the same time, pension-related policies targeted to pensioners with low income levels seem to affect the spending on non-durables and necessities such as food positively.
本文估计了养老金相关政策对家庭支出的影响。识别策略利用了20世纪80年代和90年代西班牙引入新养老金制度导致的养老金领取者收入和支出偏差,构建了一系列新的养老金立法变化叙事。我提出了各种各样的估计,其中一些暗示平均养老金的增加对养老金领取者的支出大约有一对一的影响。受影响最大的是那些支出、收入和财富水平最高的养老金领取者。对不同类别支出的估计表明,福利的增加促使这些领取养老金的人在耐用品上花更多的钱。与此同时,针对低收入养老金领取者的养老金相关政策似乎对食品等非耐用品和必需品的支出产生了积极影响。
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引用次数: 53
Стимулирование долгосрочных инвестиций домохозяйств в финансовые инструменты (Stimulating Long-Term Household Investments in Financial Instruments) Стимулированиедолгосрочныхинвестицийдомохозяйстввфинансовыеинструменты(刺激长期家庭投资的金融工具)
Yury Danilov
Russian Abstract: В работе рассматриваются вопросы стимулирования долгосрочных инвестиций домохозяйств в финансовые инструменты. Анализируется применение как финансовых (налоговых), так и нефинансовых (прежде всего, институциональных) стимулов. Приводятся основные результаты анализа иностранного опыта аналогичного стимулирования, а также первые результаты применения индивидуальных инвестиционных счетов в Российской Федерации. Сформулированы предложения по применению налоговых стимулов, расширению сферы применения индивидуальных инвестиционных счетов, в том числе для формирования пенсионного капитала, а также по развитию механизмов подавления нерыночных рисков, препятствующих инвестициям домохозяйств на финансовом рынке, среди которых особое внимание уделено проекту создания компенсационного фонда. При подготовке работы использовались также материалы сотрудников РАНХиГС Кадыковой Е.А., Пивоварова Д.А., Шаталовой С.С. English Abstract: The paper deals with the promotion of long-term household investments in financial instruments. The use of both financial (tax) and non-financial (primarily institutional) incentives is analyzed. The main results of the analysis of foreign experience of similar incentives, as well as the first results of the application of individual investment accounts in the Russian Federation are given. Proposals were formulated for applying tax incentives, expanding the scope of application of individual investment accounts, including for forming pension capital, and developing mechanisms for suppressing non-market risks that impede household investments in the financial market, among which special attention was paid to the compensation fund project.
俄罗斯Abstract:它讨论了鼓励家庭长期投资金融工具的问题。分析金融(税收)和非金融(主要是机构)刺激的应用。外国类似刺激的经验分析的主要结果和俄罗斯联邦个人投资账户应用的早期结果。拟订了税收激励方案,扩大个人投资账户的应用范围,包括养老资本的形成,以及发展抑制金融市场家庭投资的非风险机制,其中特别关注建立补偿基金项目。在准备工作时,还使用了朗希斯·卡迪卡罗夫、酿酒酿酒协会、英国酿酒协会的材料。使用both financial (tax)和非financial (primarily incentives)是一种分析。在俄罗斯联邦联邦政府的第一次干预行动中,“模拟实验”的主要反应是“模拟实验”。在金融市场开发非市场投资工具的过程中,安通which特别提供者是对综合基金的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
ERN: Other Econometrics: Applied Econometric Modeling in Microeconomics - Microeconometric Models of Household Behavior (Topic)
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