智能信息融合技术在农业监测预警研究中的应用

Zhuang Jiayu, Xu Shiwei, Li Zhemin, Chen Wei, Wang Dongjie
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引用次数: 17

摘要

本文介绍了一种用于模拟和预测作物生长的动态反馈作物模拟系统。准确有效的作物模拟有利于作物生长发育的研究和产量的预测。仿真系统实时监测数据来源于中国农业科学院农业信息研究所建立的农业监测预警研究空间(AMERS)。本文利用采集到的数据对农业模型系统进行改进,提出了一个更加准确有效的模拟系统。修正后的模型能够更准确地预测作物的生长和产量。在整个作物的生命周期中,不断修正和预测模型,直到模拟数据与实际数据高度一致。采集到的数据可以作为仿真的输入,并将修正后的模型进行实时反馈。提出了一种利用监测数据计算作物生长指标的方法。该生长指数将响应作物模拟模型进行系统修正。后期生长和产量预测结果将由修正后的模型更新。简要介绍了该系统的两种应用。
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Application of intelligence information fusion technology in agriculture monitoring and early-warning research
This paper introduces a dynamic feedback crop simulation system used to simulate and forecast the growth of crops. It was known that a precise and effective crop simulation was beneficial for the investigating of crops' growth and production forecast. The real-time monitoring data applied for this simulation system was derived from Agriculture monitoring and early-warning research space (AMERS) which was established by Agriculture Information Institute of Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences. A more accurate and valid simulation system is proposed in this paper, by improving the system of agriculture model with the collected data. The corrected model is able to predict the crop's growth and yields more accurately. During the lifecycle of the whole crops the model is corrected and predicted continuously until the simulated data is highly consistent with the real data. The collected data can be used as the input of the simulation, and the corrected model for real-time feedback. A growth index which was calculated by the monitoring data used to measure the growth of crops was proposed. This growth index will responded to the crops simulation model for system amendment. The result of late growth and yield forecasting will be updated by the revised model. Two applications of this system were briefly introduced.
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