基于分子热运动算法的大规模突发事件预测

Man Liu, Yuan Jiang, Yueping Peng
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摘要

由于中国公共场所群体性事件的不断发生,社会对群体异常的监测提出了更高的要求。本文从分子热运动的角度出发,将人群像元建模为运动的分子来预测群体突发事件。为了提高预判的效率,根据人数与分子数量的线性关系对人口密度进行分类,针对人口密度高和人口密度甚高的情况,通过分子热运动算法提取人口分布规律的速率,从而构建速度分布函数,利用支持向量机确定异常行为群体;最终完成对群体事件的预测。
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Prediction of mass emergency events based on molecular thermal motion algorithm
Because of the occurrence of mass incidents in public places in China, the society has put forward higher requirements for the monitoring of the group anomaly. In this paper, from the point of view of molecular thermal motion, the crowd pixel is modeled as a moving molecule to predict the mass emergencies. In order to improve the efficiency of the pre judge, classify the population density on the basis of the linear relationship between the number of people and the number of molecules, and in view of the high population density and the very high population density, through molecular thermal motion algorithm to extract the rate of population distribution law and thus build speed distribution function, using SVM to determine groups of abnormal behavior, completing the anticipation of group incidents finally.
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