放宽LTV·DTI法规对借款人债务结构和信用风险的影响

Meeroo Kim, Y. Oh
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摘要

本文利用韩国的CB数据,考察了放宽银行抵押贷款供应监管后,借款人的信用风险是否会发生变化。本文采用差分法分析了2014年8月放宽对首都圈LTV和DTI限制的影响。我们发现,放宽限制后,首都圈的犯罪概率比其他城市低。这种影响在低收入和低信用借款人中非常明显。我们还发现,借款人改变了他们的债务结构,以降低利息成本,利用他们改善了获得银行抵押贷款的机会。研究结果表明,在设计住房金融法规时,有必要考虑低收入和低信用等级债务人的无抵押贷款的高利息成本负担。
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Effects of Easing LTV·DTI Regulations on the Debt Structure and Credit Risk of Borrowers
With CB data in South Korea, this study examines whether the credit risk of borrowers changes when the regulation on bank mortgage supply is relaxed. We analyze the effect of deregulation on LTV and DTI limits in the Seoul-metropolitan area in August 2014 with a difference-in-difference approach. We find that the probability of delinquency is lower in the Seoul metropolitan area after the deregulation than in other urban areas. The effect is noticeable among low-income and low-credit borrowers. We also find that borrowers change their debt structure to reduce the interest costs utilizing their improved access to bank mortgages. The findings suggest the necessity to consider the burden of the high interest costs of unsecured loans for debtors with low incomes and low credit ratings in designing housing finance regulations.
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