制度和区域秩序

T. J. Pempel
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摘要

最后一章评估了到目前为止所讨论的多个制度集群与更广泛的亚太地区之间的相互作用。它考察了政权组合是如何塑造地区秩序的,也考察了盛行的地区趋势是如何影响不同政权的。全球环境的改变有利于某些类型的政权的出现,同时也排除了其他类型的政权。然而,本章还分析了不同政权组合如何以不同的方式重塑亚太地区秩序。它认为,区域秩序经历了三个互不相干的阶段。第一次主要是由美国霸权和冷战两极化形成和加强的。其次,随着亚太从敌对的两极格局转向以和平与繁荣为特征的秩序,第二个区域秩序见证了区域经济协同效应的推进。最后,自全球金融危机(2008-2009)以来,第三个地区秩序大致已经形成。
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Regimes and the Regional Order
This concluding chapter assesses the interplay between the multiple regime clusters discussed thus far and the broader Asia-Pacific region over time. It examines how regime combinations shaped the regional order, but also how prevailing regional trends reverberate to influence different regimes. Altered global conditions favored the emergence of particular types of regimes while precluding others. Yet the chapter also analyzes how different mixes of regimes reshaped the Asia-Pacific regional order in defining ways. It argues that the regional order has gone through three discrete phases. The first was predominantly shaped and reinforced by American hegemony and Cold War bipolarity. Next, a second regional order saw the advance of regional economic synergies as the Asia-Pacific shifted from hostile bipolarity into an order characterized by peace and prosperity. Finally, a third regional order has been taking shape roughly since the global financial crisis (2008–2009).
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