口碑网络和采用级联

Vincent Mak
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们研究了口碑学习如何在有限时间内导致代理网络中的统一和可能低效的行为。在我们的模型中,代理被告知相同的先验,并观察网络邻居的行为以及部分或全部这些行为的回报(产品选择和消费体验的口碑传播的风格化)。我们确定了行为在有限时间内变得一致的条件,在这种条件下,代理无视观察到的收益并模仿观察到的行为。我们的研究结果还允许我们通过口碑学习来解释临界质量和网络经纪效应,而无需调用无关的效用假设。
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Word-of-Mouth Networks and Adoption Cascades
We examine how word-of-mouth learning may lead to uniform and possibly inefficient actions in finite time among a network of agents. In our model, agents are identically informed a priori and observe network neighbors’ actions as well as the payoffs of some or all of those actions (a stylization of word-of-mouth communication of product choice and consumption experience). We identify conditions under which actions become uniform in finite time, in which agents disregard observed payoffs and imitate observed actions. Our results also allow us to interpret critical mass and network brokerage effects through word-of-mouth learning without invoking extraneous utility assumptions.
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