军事预算与经济增长:以中东、北非和南亚国家为例

Ratni Heliati, Intan Putri Wandiva
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摘要

冲突成为中东地区最大的问题之一。这种情况将使国家恶化,并将影响经济表现,因此国防预算对解决这些问题很重要。本研究旨在确定2000-2014年期间中东、北非和南亚22个国家军事预算对经济绩效的影响。本研究使用5个变量,即人均GDP、军事预算、资本形成总额、人力资本和最终消费支出。本研究采用固定效应模型的面板数据分析。模型估计结果表明,军事预算对经济绩效有显著的负向影响,而资本形成总额、最终消费支出对经济绩效有显著的正向影响。与此同时,22个国家的人力资本对经济绩效没有显著影响。
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Military Budget and Economic Growth: Case of Middle East, North Africa and South Asia Countries
Conflict became one of the biggest problems in the Middle East region. This situation will deteriorated the country and will impact on economic perfomance, so defense budget is important to resolve these problems. This study aims to determine the effect of military budget on economic perfomance in 22 countries of the Middle East, North Africa and South Asia 2000-2014 period. This study uses 5 variables namely GDP per capita, military budget, gross capital formation, human capital and final consumption expenditure. This study uses panel data analysis with fixed effect model. The results of model estimation suggest that military budget has a significant negative effect on economic perfomance, while gross capital formation, final consumption expenditure have significant positive effect on economic perfomance. Meanwhile, human capital does not have significant effect on economic perfomance in 22 countries.
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