《季度经济评论》，2020年冬季

Forecasting Report Pub Date : 2018-12-12 DOI:10.26504/qec2018win

K. McQuinn, C. O’Toole, Matthew Allen-Coghlan, C. Coffey

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引用次数: 9

摘要

自上次评论以来，对全球经济活动的预期再次下调。2012年的结果可能会比预期的略弱一些，而2013年的任何改善看起来也将比此前预期的更弱。有迹象表明，2014年的经济增长可能会略有回升。欧元区恢复趋势增长，将导致对爱尔兰出口增长预测的上调、国民生产总值(GNP)和GDP水平的提高、公共财政状况的改善，以及公共财政危机的更快解决。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Quarterly Economic Commentary, Winter 2020

Since the last Commentary, expectations for global economic activity have been scaled back once more. The outcome for 2012 is likely to be slightly more muted than had been expected, while any improvement in 2013 also looks set to be more subdued than previously thought. There are some signs that there could be a slight pick-up in growth in 2014. A resumption of trend growth in the eurozone would lead to an upward revision to Irish export growth forecasts, higher levels of GNP and GDP, an improvement in the public finances and a more speedy resolution of the public finances crisis.

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Forecasting Report

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