5. 气候变化影响

M. Maslin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

“气候变化影响”评估了气候变化的潜在影响,以及这些影响如何随着气候变暖而在规模和强度上发生变化,将潜在影响分为极端高温和干旱、风暴和洪水、农业、海洋酸化、生物多样性和人类健康等领域。政策制定者应该认清什么是危险的气候变化。对于我们能够应对的气候变化程度,我们需要一个现实的目标。幸运的是,社会应对范围是灵活的,可以随着基线的变化和更频繁的极端事件而改变——只要有强有力的气候科学为将要发生的变化提供明确的指导。
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5. Climate change impacts
‘Climate change impacts’ assesses the potential impacts of climate change and how these alter in scale and intensity with increasing warming by breaking down the potential impacts into sectors: extreme heat and droughts, storms and floods, agriculture, ocean acidification, biodiversity, and human health. Policy-makers should identify what dangerous climate change is. We need a realistic target concerning the degree of climate change with which we can cope. Fortunately, the societal coping range is flexible and can change with the shifting baseline and the more frequent extreme events—as long as there is strong climate science to provide clear guidance on what sort of changes are going to occur.
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