前沿市场下股票风险溢价的发展:以乌克兰为例

G. Anzina
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摘要

本文研究了前沿市场高波动条件下股票风险溢价的估计问题。前沿市场的低资本化和低流动性应计入贴现率,作为未计入国家系统风险的前沿市场风险的附加溢价。高投资风险和高回报为外国投资者提供了潜在的上行空间。根据前沿市场常见的额外市场风险的价值来调整投资成本,以确保投资的充分价值。因此,对前沿市场调整后的股票风险溢价的估计允许定义基本股票价值。以最新的管理理念为基础,充分的价值评估过程在当今金融化的世界经济中发挥着关键作用。当今社会,经济的持续、长期增长有赖于各市场参与者的价值最大化。因此,今天的基本价值发展(为管理;利益相关者;投资者)成为市场参与者的战略目标。在前沿市场条件下开发基本价值因系统风险而复杂化,应计入股权风险溢价。
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DEVELOPING THE EQUITY RISK PREMIUM UNDER FRONTIER MARKETS: THE CASE OF UKRAINE
The paper is devoted to problems of the equity risk premium estimation under high volatility of frontier markets. Low capitalization and liquidity of frontier markets should be counted into discount rate as additional premium for the risk of frontier markets not included in system risk of country. High investment risk along with exceed return provide foreign investors with potential upside. Adjusting cost of investing by the value of additional market risk common to frontier markets assures adequate value of the investment. As a result, estimation of adjusted equity risk premium for frontier markets allows defining fundamental equity value. Adequate valuation process play key role in current financialized world economy based on newest management concepts. Sustainable and long-term growth of economy nowadays is contributed by value maximization of each market participant. Hence, today the fundamental value development (for management; stakeholder; investor) become strategic goal for market players. Developing the fundamental value under terms of frontier markets complexify by system risks, which should be counted into the equity risk premium.
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