木材管胞长径比预测方法的比较

Guangsheng Chen, Li Ge
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引用次数: 1

摘要

随着世界范围内天然林的减少,人工造林和提高木材利用率变得越来越重要。木材性质预测研究可为人工林集约经营和木材资源的定向利用提供科学依据。本文的目的是建立木材性能的预测模型,对木材质量进行综合评价。选择管胞长径比作为分析数据。采用线性回归、时间序列和神经网络等方法建立了木材性能预测模型的可行性,并对其预测精度进行了比较和验证。结果表明,用神经网络方法建立的预测模型效果最好,误差最小,精度最高。
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Comparison of Forecasting Methods for Aspect Ratio of Wood Tracheid
With the decrease of nature forest in all over the world, plantation and improving wood utilization becomes important. The study on forecast of wood properties can provide a scientific basis for intensive farming of plantation and targeted utilization of wood resource. The purpose of this paper is to establish a forecast model of wood properties and to evaluate wood qualities comprehensively. Tracheid aspect ratio was selected as analytical data. The feasibility of wood properties forecasting model was established by the methods of linear regression, time series, and neural network and its forecasting precision were compared and proof-tested. Results indicated that the forecasting model established by neural network method was the best, with the smallest error and best precision.
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