尼泊尔的贸易逆差:对当前贸易逆差、原因和解决办法的回顾

Dikshya Mahat, Lenin Shumsher Kunwar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着全球化的发展,世界贸易一直在快速增长。在像尼泊尔这样的大多数发展中国家,贸易逆差问题一直是人们关注的问题之一。本文的目的是阐明尼泊尔贸易逆差的历史趋势,主要进出口,贸易逆差的原因,以及解决贸易逆差的一些建议。尼泊尔在2004年4月23日成为世贸组织成员后扩大了贸易关系。尼泊尔主要出口成衣、羊绒制品、皮革制品、豆类、手工艺品、香料、药材。主要进口谷物、汽车、药品、矿物燃料、石油、钢铁、塑料、宝石、机械。尼泊尔的主要贸易伙伴是印度、中国、美国、阿联酋、加拿大、印度尼西亚、阿根廷、法国、马来西亚和乌克兰。2019/20财年,进口下降15.63%,出口增长0.62%。贸易逆差总额减少16.83%。内陆、较高的生产成本、政治不稳定、货币贬值是阻碍尼泊尔走出贸易逆差迷宫的因素。加强农业部门,重点发展水电,改善基础设施,修改贸易政策,优先出口有潜力的商品,可以解决贸易逆差。国家应该努力实现专业化,加强农村经济,实现规模经济,利用劳动力的创业和管理技能。
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TRADE DEFICIT IN NEPAL: A REVIEW ON CURRENT TRADE DEFICIT, CAUSES AND SOLUTIONS
With globalization, world trade has been growing at a rapid pace. In most developing countries like Nepal, the problem of trade deficit has always been a part of the concern. The objective of this paper is to articulate the historical trend of the trade deficit in Nepal, the major imports and exports, the causes of the trade deficit, and some recommendations to solve the trade deficit. Nepal expanded its trade relationship after becoming a member of WTO on 23rd April 2004. Nepal mainly exports readymade garments, pashmina products, leather products, pulses, handicrafts, spices, medicinal herbs. The main imports are cereals, vehicles, pharmaceuticals, Mineral fuels, oils, iron & steel, plastics, gems, machinery. Major trading partners of Nepal are India, China, the USA, UAE, Canada, Indonesia, Argentina, France, Malaysia, and Ukraine. In the fiscal year 2019/20, imports decreased by 15.63%, and export increased by 0.62%. As a result, the total trade deficit decreased by 16.83%. Landlockedness, higher production cost, political instability, devaluation of currency are the factors impeding Nepal from coming out from the labyrinth of trade deficit. Fortification of the agricultural sector, focus on hydropower, improvement of infrastructures, modified trade policy, prioritization on export potential goods can solve the trade deficit. The country should strive towards specialization, strengthening the rural economy, gaining economies of scale, exploiting entrepreneurial and management skills of the labor force.
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