道德风险与逆向选择下的最优任务调度

M. Agastya, Oleksii Birulin
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引用次数: 1

摘要

一个负责人拥有一个由几个任务组成的项目。任务是不同的,既有其固有的成功概率,也有其增量收益。此外,必须聘请专家来执行这些任务。在道德风险和逆向选择的前提下,委托人应以何种顺序委托任务,何时终止项目?在改变任务特征方面的哪些事前投资能产生最高的边际利润?这些问题出现在不同的领域,从外包药物研发到排序代理战争。我们表明,尽管有信息约束,一个简单的指标——任务的有效边际贡献——决定了最优调度/机制。
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Optimal Task Scheduling under Moral Hazard & Adverse Selection
A Principal owns a project consisting of several tasks. Tasks differ, both in their innate success probabilities and their incremental benefits. Moreover, specialists must be engaged to perform these tasks. Subject to moral hazard and adverse selection, in what order should the Principal commission the tasks and when should she terminate the project? What ex-ante investments into changing tasks' characteristics yield the highest marginal profit? These issues arise in diverse areas, from outsourcing drug R&D to sequencing proxy wars. We show that, despite informational constraints, a simple index - a task's effective marginal contribution - determines the optimal schedule/mechanism.
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