周末短期负荷预测案例研究

N. A. Salim, T. Rahman, M. F. Jamaludin, M. Musa
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引用次数: 7

摘要

本文提出了短期负荷预测(STLF)方法来预测未来的电力需求。STLF是一种用于预测一天前24小时负荷需求的方法。在这个预测中考虑了两个因素:时间和当天的温度。该项目的主要目的是分析预测负荷的概况或模式,并预测周末的负荷需求。利用MATLAB软件中的人工神经网络(ANN)来解决预测问题。使用平均绝对误差百分比(MAPE)确定平均误差百分比。
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Case study of Short Term Load Forecasting for weekends
This paper presents the Short Term Load Forecasting (STLF) to predict the demand in the future. STLF is a method used to predict a day ahead, 24 hours load demand. Two factors were considered in this forecasting: time and also the temperature of the day. The main objective of this project is to analyze the profile or pattern of the forecasted load and also to predict the load demand during weekends. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in MATLAB software was used in solving the forecasting problem. The percentage of average error was determined by using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).
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