神经网络在寿险行业风险评估中的应用

Théophile K. Dagba, Mahussi Franck Dominique Lokossou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出了一个医疗保险拒付风险预测系统。数据语料库包括186个实例,分为127个样本(70%)用于学习阶段,59个样本(30%)用于验证和测试阶段。每个例子的特点是年龄、婚姻状况、最近是否患病、是否佩戴医用眼镜或假体、性别、康复率和超过上限。在对数据进行规范化后,通过计算协方差进行分析以确保无冗余。学习阶段采用误差反向传播算法。二次误差的最小化使得隐藏层的神经元数量保持不变。应用Neuroph库实现。系统的性能评分为88.71%。
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Neural Network For Risk Assessment In Life Insurance Industry: A Case Study
This paper presents a system to predict the risk of non-payment of premium in health insurance. The data corpus includes a total of 186 instances divided into 127 samples (70%) for the learning phase and 59 samples (30%) for the validation and test phase. Each example is characterized by age, marital status, the presence of a recent illness or not, the wearing of medical glasses or prostheses, the gender, the recovery rate and the ceiling exceeded. After normalizing the data, an analysis has been performed to ensure non-redundancy by calculating the covariance. The error back propagation algorithm is used for the learning phase. The minimization of the quadratic error has allowed to retain the number of neurons on the hidden layer. Neuroph library is applied for the implementation. The performance of the system is rated at 88.71%.
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