俄乌战争中的乌克兰外交

H. Perepelytsia
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引用次数: 1

摘要

2022年见证了俄乌战争范式的转折点,因为它的感知超越了乌克兰内部局部冲突的概念。国际社会与乌克兰当局一道认识到,他们面临着一场根深蒂固的全球文明间冲突,即俄罗斯与集体西方在重塑全球秩序方面的冲突。证明这一挑战的恰当例子是《俄罗斯联邦与美利坚合众国关于安全保障的条约》。它源于普京于2021年12月17日向北约和美国发出的军事最后通牒。俄罗斯对乌克兰的混合战争已进入最后阶段,即全面常规战争阶段。现在已经没有理由怀疑明斯克协议和诺曼底协议的无效,也没有理由怀疑泽连斯基对明斯克协议进行现代化改造的计划。乌克兰只有一个选择,那就是承认俄乌战争的现实,并为俄罗斯的全面军事侵略做好准备。然而,事实证明,这对乌克兰当局来说是一个重大挑战。本文试图分析乌克兰外交在解决这一挑战、推动乌克兰走向胜利方面所做的努力。本文旨在确定乌克兰外交在战争初期和高潮阶段的战略向量。它还试图分析乌克兰外交的失误和成功,这些失误和成功让乌克兰在对俄战争中更接近胜利。这项研究的一个关键目标在于思考俄乌战争后出现的欧洲安全新架构。研究对象是俄乌全面战争;研究的主题是外交在其中的作用。关键词:俄乌战争,谈判,胜利,反普京联盟,外交
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Ukrainian Diplomacy amid the russian-Ukrainian War
The year 2022 saw the turning point in the paradigm of the russian-Ukrainian war, as its perception transcended the notion of a local intra-Ukrainian conflict. The international community joined Ukrainian authorities in the realisation that they face a deeply rooted and global inter-civilisational conflict between russia and the collective West over the reshaping of the global order. Case in point to prove this challenge was the Treaty between the russian federation and the United States of America on Security Guarantees. It resulted from a military ultimatum vladimir putin issued to NATO and the USA on 17 December 2021. Russia’s hybrid war against Ukraine has entered its final phase, i.e. the phase of total conventional warfare. There is little room now for doubting the futility of the Minsk and Normandy formats for regulating the Donbas conflict, or ‘Zelenskyy’s plan’ on modernizing the Minsk Agreements. Ukraine had but one choice left, to recognise the reality of the russian-Ukrainian war and be ready for russia’s full-scale military aggression. However, that has since proven to be a major challenge for Ukrainian authorities. This article attempts to analyse the efforts of Ukrainian diplomacy in solving this challenge and bringing Ukraine’s victory closer. The article aims to identify the strategic vectors of Ukrainian diplomacy during the initial period and climactic phase of the war. It also seeks to analyse the miscalculations and successes of Ukrainian diplomacy in bringing Ukraine closer to victory in the war against russia. A crucial objective of the research lies in contemplating the new architecture of European security emerging in the wake of the russian-Ukrainian war. The object of research is the full-scale russian-Ukrainian war; the subject of research is the role of diplomacy therein. Keywords: russian-Ukrainian war, negotiations, victory, anti-putin coalition, diplomacy
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