热电厂隐性能量损失的智能评估

Pleskach Borys, Samoylov Victor
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摘要

为了寻找准确有效的方法来快速评估发电厂在向电网供电过程中的隐性能量损失,本研究基于固定发电的先例,探讨了智能推理的信息技术。以某蒸汽-燃气发电厂为研究对象。输入特性为燃气轮机的主要影响因素环境温度、相对湿度和环境压力,以及汽轮机内测量的排气真空度。该研究使用了聚类先例的方法、机器学习中寻找最近邻的技术以及通常的线性多因素回归。研究发现,即使使用线性局部多因素回归等简单的工具,也可以充分估计出蒸汽燃气电厂运行中由于不可控因素造成的隐性能量损失。使用更复杂的工具和适当的预处理可以显著提高评估的可靠性。
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Smart assessment of hidden energy losses at a thermal power plant
In search of accurate and effective ways to quickly assess the hidden energy losses of power plants during the supply of electricity to the grid, this study examines the information technology of intellectual reasoning based on the precedents of stationary generation. A steam-gas electric power plant was chosen as the object of research. The input characteristics are the ambient temperature, relative humidity and ambient pressure, which are the main factors for gas turbines, as well as the exhaust vacuum measured in the steam turbine. The study used methods of clustering precedents, the technology of finding the nearest neighbors in machine learning and the usual linear multifactor regression. It was found that even with the help of such simple tools as linear local multifactor regression, it is possible to adequately estimate the hidden energy losses caused by uncontrolled factors in the operation of a steam-gas power plant. Using more sophisticated tools and proper pre-processing can significantly increase the reliability of the assessment.
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