人力资本开发对西共体成员国经济增长的影响

Fadila Kabir Usman, Olure-Bank Adeyinka
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引用次数: 13

摘要

本研究考察了西非经共体成员国1980-2016年37年间人力资本发展对经济增长的随机效应,衡量西非经共体成员国人力资本发展对经济增长的随机效应包括世界发展指标和人力资本指数,使用了四个人力资本变量,即:教育支出(EED)、卫生支出(EHE)、国内生产总值(GDP)和入学人数(SCE),将这些变量转换为以十为基数(10)的对数来给出更稳健的估计,经济增长由GDP作为因变量来代表,经验证据基于Pedroni残差协整方法来检验变量之间的长期关系。研究结果表明,西非经共体国家的GDP与政府教育支出、卫生支出和入学率之间存在显著的正相关关系,研究得出结论,人力资本发展对西非经共体地区的经济增长有影响,该研究与2015年后可持续发展目标议程非常相关,原因有两个:(a)专属发展是西非经共体区域的一个关键政策综合症,尽管一些成员国经历了20多年的增长复苏,但人力资本发展是实现可持续发展目标极端贫困目标的关键。(b)本区域的增长主要可以由高人力资本推动,预计成员国人口将在大约30年内翻一番,对教育和卫生的高投资促进包容性发展是非常受欢迎的。这是至关重要的,因为研究表明,人力资本发展的增加(由于增加对教育和卫生的投资)将促进经济增长和发展。
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Effect of Human Capital Development on Economic Growth of Ecowas Member States
This study examines the random effect of human capital development on economic growth of ECOWAS member states for the period of thirty seven years from 1980-2016, the measurement of random effect of human capital development on economic growth of ECOWAS member countries encompasses World Development Indicator and human capital index, four human capital variables are used, namely: expenditures on education (EED), expenditures on health (EHE), gross domestic product (GDP) and school enrollment (SCE), these variables were transformed to logarithm of base ten (10) to give more robust estimates,the economic growth was proxied by GDP, which is dependent variable, the empirical evidence is based on the Pedroni residual co-integration approach to test for the long-run relationship among the variables, the findings show that there is positive and significant relationship between GDP and government expenditure on education, expenditure on health and school enrollment in the ECOWAS counties, the study concludes that human capital development has an effect on economic growth in the ECOWAS region,the study is very relevant to the post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals agendas for two fundamental reasons: (a) Exclusive development is a critical policy syndrome in ECOWAS region where human capital development is a key to attain the SDGs extreme poverty target despite enjoying more than two decades of growth resurgence in some member states. (b) Growth in the region can primarily be driven by high human capital with the population of member countries expected to double in about 30 years, high investment on education and health for inclusive development is very welcome. This is essential because studies have shown that the increase in human capital development (resulting from increasing investment in education and health) would be enhances economic growth and development.
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