可持续发展的综合指标和人力资本的作用

B. Gavrilović, B. Radivojevic
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摘要

随着《2030年议程》的通过,可持续发展的概念在全球范围内被正式接受为主导的发展模式。可持续发展背景下的可持续性不是维持现状,而是保留发展机会,这对子孙后代非常重要,而且从衡量可持续发展的角度来看也是如此。在全面衡量可持续发展的综合指标中,应特别注意国家财富和调整后的净储蓄。财富的广义定义包括生产资本、自然资本、人力资本和净外国资产。根据世界银行(World Bank)的研究,人力资本是全球和大多数国家财富中最重要的组成部分。1995-2014年期间,中等收入国家和高收入国家之间的财富趋同,主要是由于人力资本的积累,人力资本是通过为改善教育和卫生成果而进行的大规模投资而积累起来的。本文的目的是指出衡量可持续发展的意义,以及使用综合指标的优势,如财富和相关的调整后净储蓄。重点是人力资本作为21世纪可持续发展的主导因素在若干综合指标中的作用。世界银行对20年来141个国家的总财富和人均财富的数量和构成的变化进行了测量,使我们能够监测、分析和比较全世界发展进程的可持续性。这也可以通过使用调整后的净储蓄来实现,这有助于我们理解推动财富变化的一些动态。论文还提供了如何利用现有财富和调整后的净储蓄数据来指导可持续发展政策的见解。
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SYNTHETIC INDICATORS OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND THE ROLE OF HUMAN CAPITAL
With the adoption of the Agenda 2030, the concept of sustainable development was formally accepted as the dominant development paradigm at the global level. Sustainability in the context of sustainable development does not mean maintaining the status quo, but preserving development opportunities, which is very important for future generations, as well as from the point of view of measuring sustainable development. Among the synthetic indicators that measure sustainable development in a comprehensive manner, special attention should be paid to wealth of nations and adjusted net saving. Wealth is broadly defined to include produced capital, natural capital, human capital, and net foreign assets. Human capital, according to research by the World Bank is the most important component of wealth at the global level and for most countries. The convergence in wealth that is observed between middle-income and high-income countries during the period 1995-2014 is mostly due to the accumulation of human capital, which have raised from massive investments to improve education and health outcomes. The aim of the paper is to point out the significance of measuring sustainable development, as well as the advantages in the use of synthetic indicators, such as wealth and related adjusted net saving. The focus is on the role of human capital in selected synthetic indicators as the leading factor for sustainable development in the 21st century. Measuring of changes in the volume and composition of total and per capita wealth over 20 years in 141 countries, carried out by the World Bank, permits us to monitor, analyze and compare the sustainability of development process worldwide. This is also possible by using adjusted net saving, which help us understand some of the dynamics that drive the changes in wealth. Paper also provides insight into how available wealth and adjusted net saving data can be used to guide a policy towards sustainable development.
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