基于日负荷曲线的异常用电行为智能分析研究

Zhiyuan Long
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引用次数: 1

摘要

用电异常不仅给电力系统带来巨大的安全隐患,也阻碍了电力企业的智能化发展。本研究从无监督学习的角度提出了一种多特征融合算法,构建了用电量模式的特征模型,并通过实验验证了算法的可靠性。研究结果表明,多特征融合算法加功耗模式特征模型的检测结果准确率高达95%,其ROC曲线的AUC值最大。当阈值在0.2 ~ 0.3之间时,算法效果最佳。同时,对用户用电量模式进行聚类分析,对异常用电量行为有较好的检测效果。本研究对电力系统的智能化管理具有参考意义,为电网的安全发展提供技术思路。
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A Study of Intelligent Analysis of Abnormal Power Consumption Behavior Based on Daily Load Curve
Abnormal power consumption not only causes great safety risks to the power system, but also hinders the intelligent development of power enterprises. This study proposed a multi-feature fusion algorithm from the perspective of unsupervised learning, constructed a feature model of electricity consumption patterns, and verified the reliability of the algorithm through experiments. The research results show that the accuracy rate of the detection result of the multi-feature fusion algorithm plus power consumption mode feature model is as high as 95%, and the AUC value of its ROC curve is the largest. When the threshold is between 0.2 and 0.3, the algorithm works best. At the same time, the cluster analysis of users' electricity consumption patterns shows a good detection effect of abnormal electricity consumption behavior. This study has reference significance for the intelligent management of power systems and provides technical ideas for the safe development of power grids.
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