我们需要一个公平的经济,还是一个好的经济?不平等、经济自由和政治压迫,1975-2015

Indra de Soysa, K. Vadlamannati
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摘要

一些人认为,在促进社会和谐方面,以提高生产力和自由市场政策来衡量的“良好”经济比“公正”经济更好。增长是增加中产阶级的必要条件,但增长也可能扩大收入差距,造成政治不稳定。我们通过估计个人之间的收入不平等(纵向)和群体之间的政治不平等(横向)对政治压迫的影响来研究这个难题。我们的研究结果一致表明,经济自由降低了政治压迫,这一效应在包括工具变量技术在内的几种因果关系测试中是稳健的。相比之下,这两种形式的不平等的影响都是政治压迫的不良预测因素,它们的影响实际上很小,对规范和估计技术不健全。人们似乎对不平等不那么敏感,因为他们觉得程序是公平的,即使看到别人走在前面,他们也会期待轮到自己,这就是阿尔伯特·赫希曼(Albert Hirschman)提出的所谓“隧道效应”。我们的研究结果并不支持经济自由和自由市场资本主义驱动异议-镇压关系的观点,正如许多批评理论所期望的那样。事实上,情况正好相反。
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Do We Need a Just Economy, or Just a Good One? Inequalities, Economic Freedom and Political Repression, 1975-2015
Some argue that a “good” economy, measured as productivity-enhancing, free market policies, is better than a “just” economy for promoting social harmony. Growth is needed to increase a middle class, but growth may also increase income disparity, creating political instability. We examine this conundrum by estimating the effects of income inequality among individuals (vertical) and political inequality among groups (horizontal) on a measure of political repression. Our results show consistently that economic freedom lowers political repression, an effect that is robust to several tests of causality, including instrumental variables techniques. Comparatively, the effects of both forms of inequality are poor predictors of political repression, their effects are substantively small and not robust to specification and estimating techniques. It seems that people might be less sensitive to inequality when they feel that processes are fair and that they expect their turn to arrive even if they see others moving ahead, the so-called “tunnel effect” identified by Albert Hirschman. Our results do not support the view that economic freedom and free market capitalism drive the dissent-repression nexus as many critical theories expect. In fact, the opposite is true.
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