一笔交易到底包含什么?并购电话会议的文本分析证据

Wenyao Hu, Thomas D. Shohfi, Runzu Wang
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引用次数: 7

摘要

我们以2011年至2018年的814份电话会议记录为样本,研究了并购电话会议中的信息。文本分析显示,并购电话会议记录的内容与同期公司新闻稿和财报电话会议的内容存在显著差异。我们发现目标高管类型在并购电话会议中的参与与薪酬选择有关,并且与管理层激励一致。目标高管的出现与负面的市场反应有关,这归因于这些高管的留任。我们还确定了文本情绪和市场反应之间的负相关关系,这与对更高水平信息不对称的反应一致。然而,更多的量化信息与并购呼吁的市场反应呈正相关。我们开发了一个并购动机词典,以识别电话记录中的财务和战略内容。与先前关于并购动机的文献一致,涉及更多财务(战略)导向词汇的交易具有更高(更低)的市场反应。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,与交易相关的文本分析解释了收购方收益/损失的一个非常重要和经济上重要的组成部分。
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What’s Really in a Deal? Evidence from Textual Analysis of M&A Conference Calls
Using a sample of 814 transcripts from 2011 to 2018, we examine information within merger and acquisition conference calls. Textual analysis reveals significant differences between the content of M&A call transcripts and both contemporaneous corporate press releases and earnings conference calls. We find participation of target executive types in M&A calls is related to payment choice and consistent with managerial incentives. Appearances of target executives are associated with a negative market reaction which is attributed to retention of these executives. We also identify a negative relation between textual sentiment and market reaction consistent with a response to higher levels of information asymmetry. Greater quantitative information, however, is positively related to the market reaction of M&A calls. We develop an M&A motive dictionary to identify financial and strategic content within call transcripts. Consistent with prior literature on merger motivation, deals with more finance (strategy) oriented words have a higher (lower) market reaction. Overall, our results show that deal-related textual analysis explains a highly significant and economically important component of gains/losses to acquirers.
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