天花:天花的地缘政治影响

M. Oldstone
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本章考察天花在历史进程中起决定性作用的事件。天花的故事与人类迁徙和战争的历史交织在一起,极大地有利于一个人口或军队而不是另一个。天花实际上改变了历史的进程,它杀死了将军和国王,或者消灭了他们的敌人。这段历史是本章第二部分的背景,该部分评估了今天是否需要重新接种疫苗:所涉及的问题、风险和利益。尽管天花作为一种疾病已经被根除,但这种病毒会卷土重来吗?由于这种病毒不会以持续感染的形式逗留,它可以被永久根除,也就是说,从世界上消失。然而,由于该病毒不再在任何社区传播,未接种疫苗或未感染的易感个体的数量不断增加。此外,据信,以前接种过疫苗的人的完全或有效免疫力在10至20年内会减弱。因此,高度易感人群的数量继续大幅增加。
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Smallpox: The Geopolitical Impact of Smallpox
This chapter looks at selected events throughout the course of history in which smallpox has played a decisive role. The story of smallpox is interwoven with the history of human migrations and wars, dramatically favoring one population or army over another. Smallpox actually changed the course of history by killing generals and kings or decimating their enemies. That history is presented as context for the chapter’s second part, which assesses whether or not there is a need to revaccinate today: the issues, risks, and benefits involved. Despite the eradication of smallpox as a disease, could the virus return? Since the virus does not linger in the form of a persistent infection, it is amenable to permanent eradication—that is to say, removal from the world. However, because the virus no longer circulates in any community, the numbers of never-vaccinated or never-infected susceptible individuals increase continually. Further, complete or efficient immunity of those previously vaccinated is believed to wane in 10 to 20 years. Consequently, the pool of highly susceptible individuals continues to expand enormously.
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