保险理赔对经济增长的影响分析:以尼日利亚为例

Olajide Solomon Fadun
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摘要

保险在刺激经济增长方面起着重要作用。保险是一种无形的产品,及时的理赔证明保险公司履行了对被保险人的承诺。本文分析了保险理赔对经济增长的影响。该报告以尼日利亚为例,研究了保险理赔对一国经济增长的影响。该研究采用了事后设计,使用了28年的时间序列数据(1992 - 2019)。国内生产总值(GDP)和尼日利亚保险公司的理赔金额分别是研究中使用的因变量和自变量。长期协整结果显示,保险理赔对GDP的负向影响不显著。该系数表明,INCLM(保险索赔)的百分比增长将导致GDP下降1.22。结果表明,保险理赔对经济增长的负向影响不显著。这意味着保险公司解决的保险索赔与尼日利亚的经济增长之间存在负相关关系。这一发现令人惊讶,因为人们预计保险公司的理赔会对经济增长产生积极影响。这意味着保险理赔与经济增长之间的关系取决于几个因素,包括国家特定因素和该国保险业的表现。
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Analysis of the impacts of insurance claims settlement on economic growth: The case of Nigeria
Insurance plays an essential role in stimulating economic growth. Insurance is an intangible product, and prompt claim settlement proves that insurers fulfill their promises to the insureds. This paper analyses the impacts of insurance claims settlement on economic growth. It examines the effect of insurance claims' settlements on a nation's economic growth, using Nigeria as a case study. The research utilised an ex-post facto design, using 28-year time series data (1992 – 2019). Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Nigeria's insurance companies' claims settlement are the dependent and independent variables used for the study, respectively. The Long-run co-integration result revealed that INCLM (Insurance claims) has an insignificant negative effect on GDP. The coefficient shows that a percentage increment in INCLM (Insurance claims) would result in a 1.22 decrease in GDP. The results indicate that insurance claims settlement has an insignificant negative effect on economic growth. This implies a negative relationship between insurance claims settled by insurance companies and economic growth in Nigeria. The finding is surprising as one expects that settlement of claims by insurers should positively impact economic growth. The implication is that the relationship between insurance claims settlement and economic growth varies depending on several factors, including country-specific factors and the performance of the country's insurance industry.
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