识别银行风险及其对金融稳定的影响

M. Lutsyk, Andrii Solovarov, Anton Paliukh
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摘要

本文致力于深化银行风险及其对金融稳定影响研究的理论和方法基础。在总结科学研究成果的基础上,明确了“金融稳定”、“银行风险”等概念的本质。确定和分类银行风险的方法方法得到了证实。这项研究使区分金融稳定的概念和银行系统的金融坚韧不拔的概念成为可能。强调金融稳定性是银行体系的动态特征,而金融韧性则反映了其当前的静态状态。在本文中,明确了银行体系固有的风险类型,并确定了能够识别对金融稳定影响最大的主要风险的分类特征。已经确定的是,在现代条件下,全球金融和(或)商品市场形势的急剧恶化可能对金融稳定构成重大威胁,这种恶化会传导到银行体系;国内金融市场的一个细分市场“过热”;对本国货币的投机性攻击,以保持其汇率实际上与美元挂钩,并使贸易平衡恶化;公共财政危机等。
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IDENTIFICATION OF BANKING RISKS AND THEIR IMPACT ON FINANCIAL STABILITY
The article is devoted to deepening the theoretical and methodological foundations of the study of banking risks and their impact on financial stability.Based on the generalization of the results of scientific research, the essence of the concepts "financial stability", "banking risks" was specified. Methodological approaches to the identification and classification of banking risks are substantiated.The study made it possible to distinguish between the concepts of financial stability and the financial fortitude of the banking system. It is emphasized that financial stability is a dynamic characteristic of the banking system, while financial fortitude reflects its current, static state.In the article, the types of risks inherent in the banking system are specified, and the classification features that allowed identification of the main risks that have the greatest impact on financial stability are identified.It has been established that in modern conditions, a significant threat to financial stability can be posed by a sharp deterioration of conjuncture in the global financial and/or commodity markets, which is transmitted to the banking system; "overheating" of one of the segments of the domestic financial market; a speculative attack on the national currency for keeping its exchange rate effectively pegged to the US dollar and deterioration of the trade balance; the crisis of the public finances, etc.
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