抽样和网络拓扑对社会相互关系估计的影响

Yuxin Chen, Xinlei Chen
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引用次数: 14

摘要

了解和衡量消费者之间的社会相互关系对市场研究人员来说很重要,因为消费者形成了社会网络,他们的行为和偏好可能是相互依存的。在本文中,我们证明了消费者社会相互关系的估计会受到研究中使用的抽样方法和消费者社会网络拓扑结构的显著影响。具体来说,通过对14400个不同采样程序和网络拓扑生成的模拟数据集的空间模型的估计结果,我们发现,如果采取网络样本进行估计,消费者网络中社会相互关系的程度往往被低估。我们进一步证明,雪球抽样比简单随机抽样在估计社会相互关系的大小方面表现得更好,但在每个成员的连接数量以无标度幂律分布为特征的网络中,雪球抽样比简单随机抽样的优势减弱。一般来说,当使用雪球抽样时,在遵循无标度幂律度分布的网络中,社会相互关系估计的向下偏差会恶化。我们还在论文中讨论了这些发现背后的直觉以及它们的含义和局限性。
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The Impact of Sampling and Network Topology on the Estimation of Social Inter-Correlations
Understanding and measuring social inter-correlations among consumers are important for marketing researchers as consumers form social networks and their behavior and preference are likely to be interdependent. In this paper, we show that the estimation of consumers' social inter-correlations can be significantly affected by the sampling method used for the study and the topology of the consumers' social network. Specifically, from the estimations results of a spatial model on 14,400 simulated data sets generated with various sampling procedures and network topology, we find that the magnitude of social inter-correlations in consumer networks tend to be underestimated if samples of the networks are taken for conducting the estimations. We further demonstrate that snowball sampling performs better than simple random sampling in estimating the magnitude of social inter-correlations, but the advantage of snowball sampling over simple random sampling reduces in networks characterized with the scale-free power-law distribution for the number of connections of each member. In general, the downward bias in the estimation of social inter-correlations worsens in networks following the scale-free power-law degree distribution when snowball sampling is used. We also discuss the intuitions behind those findings as well as the implications and limitations of them in the paper.
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