商业地产风险:文献综述

Lixian Ye, Chen Liwen
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引用次数: 2

摘要

近年来,针对商业地产的理论和实证研究较多。在此基础上,结合相关理论对商业地产风险管理的研究范围、主要内容和方法进行了综述。研究范围包括房地产行业风险的宏观研究和企业、项目风险的微观研究。研究内容主要集中在系统与特质系统、商业地产风险影响因素、REITs代表、商业地产多元化与套期保值等问题。目前被广泛使用的主要有四种方法:CAMP方法及其演化、风险价值法、实物期权法和ARCH方法系列。综上所述,本文对特殊行业商业地产的系统性风险、特质性和动态相关性进行了深入的研究,为未来中国制度环境下商业地产风险管理的理论研究和实践提供了理论依据。
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Risk of commercial real estate: A review of literature
In recent years, there have been many theoretical and empirical researches on commercial real estate. Based on the contents and related theories, we review the research scope, main contents and methods about risk management of commercial real estate. Research scope includes macro study on risks of real estate industry and micro study on risks of enterprises and projects. Research contents mainly concentrate on issues of systematic and idiosyncratic systems, factors affecting risks of commercial real estates, the representative of REITs, diversifying and hedging commercial real estate. Four main methods are used widely, which are CAMP method and its evolution, Value at Risk, Real Options Approach and ARCH approach series. In conclusion, we bring about in-depth study focusing on the systemic risk, idiosyncratic and dynamic correlation of commercial real estate in special industries which may contribute to the theoretical study and the practice on risk management of commercial real estate in China's institutional environment in the future.
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