荷兰氟虫腈危机:对荷兰氟虫腈危机期间农民选择的方法(脱毒或过早扑杀母鸡)的财务影响进行分析

J. D. Lange
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2017年在荷兰发生的氟虫腈危机对家禽业产生了重大影响。农民们必须做出决定,要么去毒(一种试图消除储存在脂肪中的氟虫腈的饮食),要么过早宰杀他们的母鸡。这项研究从经济角度比较了戒毒和过早扑杀,为以下问题提供了答案:事后看来,哪种方法能最大限度地抑制对农民的经济影响?为了做到这一点,我们建立了一个决策树,并进行了敏感性、盈亏平衡和风险分析。
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Fipronil-crisis in the Netherlands: An analysis of the financial effects of the chosen approach (detoxicate or prematurely cull hens) by farmers during the fipronil-crisis in the Netherlands
The fipronil-crisis that occurred in the Netherlands in 2017, had a big impact on the poultry sector. Farmers had to make the decision to either detoxicate (a diet which attempts to eliminate the fipronil which is stored in the fat) or prematurely cull their hens. This research compares detoxification and prematurely culling in a financial way, to provide an answer for the question: Which approach would have restrained, with hindsight, the financial impact for the famers the most? In order to do this a decision tree has been built and a sensitivity, break-even and risk analysis have been conducted.
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